- Plymouth haven't won away from home yet in League One 2026/2027, drawing 1 and losing 0, but scoring 1 goal.
- Leicester have made a slow start in League One 2026/2027, with 0 draws and 1 defeat in 1 home game, conceding 2.00 goals per game.
- The last two H2H meetings, in the Championship and beyond, have been split 1-1 with no draws.
Leicester look to click in first home game in 2027
Two of English football's most progressive managers meet at the King Power Stadium as Russell Martin faces off against Tom Cleverley in a game that should be played at a moderate tempo and with a decent amount of intensity. The Foxes have made a poor start to their League One 2026/2027 campaign, sitting in 20th with just 2 points from their opening 3 games.
Martin has overseen a shift towards a possession-based game, built around patient build up, and he has also introduced a high-intensity pressing scheme that can pin opponents back if the Foxes get into their rhythm. They are coming off a 0-0 draw at Milton Keynes Dons in League One, but a loss to Burton Albion and a defeat at home to Ipswich Town in the league and cup respectively shows that their cutting edge has been missing of late.
Plymouth, in contrast, have played a more structured, rhythm-based game that involves pressing in waves and combining quickly since Cleverley took over on 13th June 2025. It looks as though the Pilgrims are ready to make a challenge, currently sitting in 12th place with 4 points from their first 3 games.
Pilgrims have a goal scorer and can get a goal in a tight game
Plymouth are coming off the back of a 2-0 win over Bradford City in League One, which should keep the mood upbeat, but not complacent, after a 2-4 EFL Cup defeat to Coventry City. Harvey White has been the Pilgrims' sharpest finisher in the league so far, netting once in 3 appearances.
Leicester's Jayden Joseph has shown his quality in front of goal with 1 goal in 2 matches, but Sammy Braybrooke has been the true creator, leading the League One 2026/2027 assist charts with 1 assist in 3. We think that Plymouth have the quality to get a goal and make this game tight, so Under 2.5 goals at 23/20 looks a solid alternative to the main bet, especially considering the cagey H2H record and the mixed form of both sides coming into this (Leicester: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats; Plymouth: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats).
Plymouth nicked the last H2H meeting 1-0 at home in Championship 2023/2024, but they haven't won in their last visit to Leicester. Plymouth's compact 4-4-2 or 4-2-3-1 shape and combination play can punish the home side if they overcommit in the transitions, but Martin's Leicester will likely win the foot race if they get into their stride, so we're going for a narrow Leicester win here.
