- Lincoln City have won one, drawn two and lost three of their home Championship 2026/2027 fixtures.
- Birmingham City have won three, drawn one and lost two of their six Championship 2026/2027 away games.
- Birmingham City have conceded just five goals on the road this season.
Blues have better away record than Imps
Lincoln City are not as bad as their recent results indicate and Birmingham City are not as good as their results suggest, but the Blues will like their odds more at LNER Stadium than the Imps.
It has been a patchy start to the Championship 2026-2027 campaign for the Imps, who sit 15th with 15 points from 12 games. The Blues are 7th with 20 points from 12 and appear to have the advantage at 117/100, while Lincoln are 54/25 and the draw is 47/20.
Chris Cohen has made Lincoln more attack-minded since taking over on 9 June 2026, but they have tended to get their fingers burnt as much as they have scored goals. The 4-2-3-1 is designed to clog up the middle and has seen the team counter-attack with vigour.
Cohen's Counter-Attackers can cause Birmingham problems
This will be a test for Birmingham City's attack, which is built around runners who like to turn games into a series of transitions. Chris Davies has been in charge of the Blues since 1 July 2024 and his players are very proficient at playing this style, but there will be fewer holes for them to exploit here than at other grounds.
Lincoln's form sequence is: 4-1 home win against Burnley, 0-6 home loss to West Ham United, 2-2 away draw with Millwall. They average 1.17 goals per home game in the Championship 2026/2027, but their defence has been volatile at Sincil Bank.
Davies' Blues are on fire at St Andrew's with back-to-back 4-0 and 3-0 victories over Preston North End and Queens Park Rangers before last week's 1-0 away defeat at Cardiff City.
Liam Millar’s form suggests a Birmingham win
A Birmingham City win to nil looks a good shout here as they have conceded only five goals on the road, but given the respective home and away records of these clubs we are going to leave the draw in play. The visitors can nick this one if they play well, but Lincoln are still a dangerous team and can make it a close-run thing.
The main goalscorer for Lincoln City in the Championship 2026/2027 is Freddie Draper with two in eight. Liam Millar has scored four of Birmingham's last eight goals in the Championship 2026/2027 and is in fantastic form.
Carlos Vicente is Birmingham's top scorer in the Championship 2026/2027 with two in eight.
Birmingham City won their most recent two meetings with Lincoln, including a 1-0 home success in League One 2024/2025. So the visitors will have the psychological edge when they arrive at Sincil Bank.