- Portsmouth have scored six goals in six away matches in the 2026/27 Championship.
- Portsmouth have won three, drawn one and lost one of their last five matches in all competitions.
- Burnley have won one, drawn two and lost one of their last four head-to-head meetings in all competitions.
Tactical tussle at Turf Moor
Nicky Hayen's possession-based, attacking football and John Mousinho's organised, high-press approach should ensure that there's plenty of chess being played on the field on Saturday. The Clarets have scored an average of 1.33 goals per home game in the 2026/27 Championship and have conceded 1.67, which suggests that the door will swing both ways in this clash.
Hayen's appointment as Burnley's head coach on 10 July 2026 appears to have been a good one on paper, at least. The Clarets have played some high-tempo, vertical football with attacking full-backs and a high press this season and the results have been encouraging enough. However, a 1-2 home defeat to Wolverhampton Wanderers followed by a 4-1 thrashing at the hands of Lincoln City has left them in a sticky patch.
Portsmouth have performed very well under Mousinho, who was appointed as the Pompey head coach on 20 January 2023, and has seen his side play a 4-2-3-1 system with a high-pressing game and a variety of build-up styles. The visitors are in good form, having won three, drawn one and lost only one of their last five in all competitions, and those two results were a 1-1 away draw with Wolves and a 2-1 home win over Millwall.
Pompey are a better bet than Burnley
Burnley have won none and lost two of their six home matches in the 2026/27 Championship, drawing the other four, and they enter this Saturday's clash in worse form than Portsmouth. The Pompey will be the more content of the two sides to see this one go cagey, so the odds of 1/1 for the home side look a little on the short side and the 5/2 on the visitors looks like a live bet if they can keep this one tight.
A 1-1 draw looks about right for this match-up. Portsmouth have not won their last away game against Burnley in all competitions and they sit 11th in the 2026/27 Championship with 18 points from 12 matches, giving them the superior platform of the two teams going into this game. Burnley are 22nd with eight points from 12 games and could really use a lift-off here.
Goals could be at a premium
Under 2.5 goals at 19/20 looks the sharper alternative to the main selection in this match-up, which could remain cagey for large portions. Zeki Amdouni top scores for Burnley in the Championship this season with just two goals in eight matches and looks to be the main goal threat, while Marko Milovanovic, who has scored twice in five games, looks the most likely finisher for Pompey. Lucas Pires has added three assists to the goals tally in Burnley's last five games and his delivery will be a big part of the hosts' attacking thrust on Saturday.
