- Lincoln City have failed to win in five home Championship games (D2, L3). Burnley's road form in the Championship is one win, one draw and three defeats from five away games. Lincoln have conceded 2.40 goals per home game in the Championship, scoring just 0.60 in return.
Imps and Clarets are in a pickle
Lincoln City are 18th in the Championship table with 12 points from 11 games, while Burnley are 22nd with eight points from the same number of games. Neither is in a comfortable position and there will be some trepidation ahead of Saturday's clash at LNER Stadium.
Chris Cohen has had a tough start to his role at the helm of Lincoln City, but the Imps boss had a clean slate to work with after taking charge on 9 June 2026. They were battered 0-6 at home by West Ham United last time out, although they did come back to earn a 2-2 draw away to Millwall the previous week.
Nicky Hayen has been in charge of Burnley since 10 July 2026 and has started to instil some of his possession-first philosophy on a team that presses purposefully, but also selectively. The Clarets have won one, drawn two and lost two of their last five, so they have some momentum to carry into this clash, although the Imps will be up for it.
Back under 2.5 goals for a close game
Burnley will try to play the possession game and will press with a purpose, but they are likely to come up against an equally intense, albeit more compact, high-energy press from Lincoln that is designed to force turnovers and turn the game into a chaotic battle.
Burnley are a narrow favourite at 31/20 for this game, while the hosts are not far behind at 8/5, so it's a match that looks very hard to call. Lincoln have some real problems in the final third and at the back, conceding 2.40 and scoring just 0.60 per home Championship game so far.
Burnley are scoring 1.60 per away game, but are also conceding 2.20, so there is enough of a gap for both sides to get on the scoresheet here. But there shouldn't be enough for either to run away with it, so we're taking under 2.5 goals at 22/25 for this to be a low-scoring, cagey battle.
Likely goalscorers
Lincoln's danger man is Freddie Draper, who has two goals in eight Championship appearances, while Zeki Amdouni is Burnley's main threat, also having two in eight in the second-tier. But Lucas Pires has three assists in Burnley's last five games, with the attacks flowing through him, so we're backing the winger to get a goal against Lincoln City.
