- West Brom are unbeaten at home in the Championship 2026/2027, winning 2 and drawing 2 of their 4 home games, scoring 1.50 goals and conceding 0.75 goals per game.
- Birmingham City have been solid away from home in the Championship 2026/2027, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their 4 away games, scoring 1.25 and conceding 1.00 goals per game.
- The head-to-head between these teams is very tight: The Blues have failed to win their last 2 away to West Brom, the Baggies have won 1, Birmingham 2 and 2 drawn of the last 5 meetings.
West Brom looking for more momentum
West Bromwich sit 5th in the Championship 2026/2027 table with 14 points from 8 games, Birmingham City are 10th with 11 points from 8. This should be a competitive match between two Championship teams at The Hawthorns on Saturday afternoon.
West Brom's form reads as 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 5 matches, a sequence which includes a 1-0 away win at Derby County, a 1-1 draw at home to Queens Park Rangers and a 1-0 away loss to Wolverhampton Wanderers.
James Morrison has got The Baggies set up in a compact and pragmatic 4-2-3-1, they're organised without the ball and able to hit quickly on the counter. Jimmy-Jay Morgan is West Brom's livewire, he leads the Championship 2026/2027 scoring charts with 3 goals and 3 assists in 8 games, and Callum Styles has also given the team a sharp edge this season, with 2 goals in the last 5.
Birmingham seeking to turn the screw
Birmingham's form over the same 5 games reads 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss and they too are coming off a victory, having beaten Derby County 2-1 away from home. Chris Davies has set up a more vertical and higher-tempo 4-2-3-1, the Blues look to press the opposition proactively and can get the ball moving through the thirds quickly.
Carlos Vicente has 2 goals in 8 games and leads Birmingham's Championship 2026/2027 scoring, Liam Millar has 3 assists in the last 5 matches, 3 of them coming in the team's last 5 matches.
Back the draw at 5/2
West Brom are 61/50 favourites here, Birmingham are 2/1 and the draw is 5/2. That's probably about right, given that both teams have shown they can be effective going forward and that the head-to-head is pretty tight. However, we're going to take the 5/2 on the tie in this one, because the teams have polar opposite styles and that should make for a chess match.
West Brom will want to control the game without the ball, Birmingham will look to force the pace and press the issue. Both teams to score looks a live angle at 13/20, but under 2.5 goals at 1/1 seems to fit the feel of this tight Midlands scrap.