- West Ham have won two of the last three meetings between the teams (W2, D1, L0). West Ham are 2nd in the Championship 2026/2027 with 22 points from 11 games. Southampton are 7th with 17 points from 11. West Ham have a solid home record in the Championship 2026/2027 (W3, D1, L1, 5 goals conceded).
Hammers can play Southampton at home
West Ham are the favourites at 33/50 ahead of Saturday's visit of Southampton to the London Stadium, and perhaps they should be. However, there is a case to make for the Saints at 333/100 (draw 16/5) as the match odds seem a bit too tight to suit the hosts who are yet to have an utterly convincing run of form this season.
The Hammers come into this game on the back of two straight wins after thrashing Lincoln City 6-0 away and beating Swansea City 1-0 away, but they have taken two wins, two draws and a defeat from their last five. So, while West Ham look the most likely winners, Southampton are in decent form and will make a game of this.
The visitors have three wins, one draw and a defeat in their last five, and that sequence came from a 1-0 away win at Norwich City and a 0-0 home draw with Bolton Wanderers. They don't look like they have enough quality in the attacking third to win the big games in this league, but they have the pressing style and the pressing numbers to make life difficult for most Championship 2026/2027 clubs on their day.
Styles match up perfectly
Tonda Eckert has his Southampton playing on the front foot, which should suit them against West Ham because Nuno Espirito Santo's men are a 'shape-first' team that prefer to sit in compact midblocks and then spring into vertical transitions, with Jarrod Bowen their main threat in the final third.
The Saints have a creative spark to their team now in Finn Azaz, who has three assists in his last five games, and their main goal threat Cyle Larin is leading the Championship 2026/2027 scoring charts with seven in eight. On that basis, we're happy to have a flutter on Southampton to get something from this game.
But we'll go for a draw, as West Ham have an edge in the head-to-head with two wins in the last three (D1, L0) and beat the Saints 4-1 away in the EFL Cup 2026/2027 just seven weeks ago. Tonda Eckert's side haven't won on either of their two previous trips to play West Ham since their promotion and their away record in the Championship 2026/2027 so far is one win, two draws and two defeats from five with an average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded.
The odds on goals look a little tight, but we'll take Over 2.5 goals at 9/20 and Both Teams To Score at 12/25 on the basis that West Ham have the most impressive home record in the Championship 2026/2027 and Southampton have scored and conceded an average of 1.00 and 1.20 respectively away.
