- Portsmouth have won two of the last three meetings between the clubs.
- Portsmouth have a 2-game winning streak and have won their last two games.
- Millwall's away record in the Championship 2026/2027 reads two wins, one draw and two defeats.
Side with Pompey in tight affair
Portsmouth will take on Millwall in a Championship 2026/2027 mid-table tussle at Fratton Park on Saturday as 13th place meets 12th.
Pompey have collected 14 points from their first ten games while Millwall have picked up 15 from 11 and, while there's not much to separate the clubs at the moment, we'll be siding with John Mousinho's men in what looks to be a tight contest.
Mousinho has had Portsmouth since 20 January 2023 and his side have played some nice football this season, combining their ability to play a possession-based style with an aggressive press at times when games have required it.
Pompey have a touch more class
That can make Pompey very difficult to beat and they've done just that in their last five, winning two, drawing two and losing one. But their current two-game winning run includes a 1-0 away victory at Norwich City and a 3-2 home win over Sheffield United, which suggests that Pompey have been finding a way to win tight games.
The visitors have one win, three draws and one defeat in their last five, coming into this off a home defeat to Swansea City and a 2-2 draw with Lincoln City. Millwall are difficult to break down as Alex Neil's men, who have been in charge since 30 December 2024, look compact and have a counter-attacking edge.
So we could well see a chess match unfold here as Portsmouth's 4-2-3-1 can be patient, but their bursts of pressing will ensure they have spells on the ball. Millwall can spring attacks and are always a threat on set-pieces.
Millwall can make a mark at Fratton
The home side are scoring 1.60 goals per game at home, with eight scored in total, and have more of a goal threat than Millwall so the hosts should be favourites. And they are, but only just with the odds favoring Pompey at 83/50, compared to the visitors at 38/25 and the draw at 47/20.
The odds don't reflect that this should be a close encounter of two mid-table teams and we think Millwall, who have conceded ten goals on the road in 2026/2027, can nick it if Pompey overcommit.
Under 2.5 goals at 83/100 is our main bet here, which fits a cagey affair, but we will take Pompey to just edge it on the day. Millwall have won on two of their last three visits to Portsmouth but the home team has won two of the three overall and that's the choice we're making.
Free-kick specialists in good form
Marko Milovanovic is Pompey's chief goal threat with two goals in his five Championship 2026/2027 appearances. Millwall's top scorer is Lyndon Dykes with four in eight so the onus will be on stopping him.
Zak Swanson has hit two goals in Pompey's last five matches, giving Mousinho another avenue to a goal, and the onus will be on him to take his chance to score. Camiel Neghli has two in Millwall's last five, so the visitor's transition game has a sharp edge to it as well.
