- Dinamo Tbilisi are the 7/20 favourites and US Mondorf-Les-bains the 11/2 underdogs for this UEFA Conference League Qualification match.
- Mondorf have been in good form in all competitions (6-3-1 over their last 10) and are on a 4-1-0 home run.
Tbilisi’s pedigree should see them through
Dinamo Tbilisi are the 7/20 hot favourites to win in Luxembourg on Thursday and they are rightfully the market-makers' fancy. However, US Mondorf-Les-bains have been playing in a similarly competitive way lately and they may well be capable of making this a sticky game at Stade Achille Hammerel.
Martin Forkel's side are very well organised and they've been playing a compact 4-2-3-1 system that allows them to stay in the game and try to catch the opposition on the counter attack. In Jean-Paul Kumbi, who has scored 2 in his last 5 appearances, Mondorf have a pacey spark and they should be able to create chances from wide and half-space attacks.
They've been in great form, going 6-3-1 in their last 10 games and they are currently on a 3-game winning streak at home, which is why they are capable of giving Dinamo a run for their money on Thursday.
Home stats suggest Mondorf can hold up well
Temuri Ketsbaia's men are a more aggressive unit and they play a 4-2-3-1 system that focuses on quick transitions, direct play and set-piece play. They've been in fine form coming into this tie, beating FC Samgurali Tskaltubo 5-3 at home and FC Dinamo Batumi 2-1 in their latest matchup.
Their away record isn't great (W2, D2, L1) from 5 matches in all competitions, but they do average 2.40 goals for on the road. Nevertheless, they face a home defence that has been solid for Mondorf across all comps (2.0 conceded from 5 matches for a 0.40 average), so we feel Dinamo to win and under 3.5 goals is the cleanest alternative option to the match odds.
