- Levadia have won 7 of their last 7 away games across all competitions, scoring 20 goals at an average of 2.86 per away game.
- Caernarfon Town have won 3 of their last 6 home games in all competitions, losing the other 3.
- Levadia are in better form than Caernarfon across the last 10 games (W8, D1, L1 vs W4, D1, L5).
Gogs are in a groove
Caernarfon Town FC have found a nice rhythm under Richard Davies since he took over in April 2023, with the Welsh League side compiling an impressive 4-1-5 record across their last 10 matches. The Gogs have also won their last 3 in a row, which includes a 3-0 Welsh Cup win over Flint Town United and a 2-0 Premier League victory against Penybont.
Caernarfon are compact and pragmatic, preferring to sit deep and hope to catch their opponents out on the counter attack, which has served them well in their own backyard, where they have won 3 of 6 home games in all current competitions. At 8/5, the Gogs are worth a flutter here, but Levadia Tallinn look the likelier winners at 7/5 and the draw looks far too short at 5/2.
Levadia are lethal on the road
Vjatseslav Zahovaiko has done a fine job since taking charge of FC Levadia Tallinn in January 2026 and his positive 4-2-3-1 system has created a side which can match almost any opponent on their day. The visitors like to press high up the pitch and are full of confidence when in possession, where they look to play at tempo and get in behind opposition defences with their pace and power.
Levadia are in much better shape than the hosts ahead of Thursday's clash, having won 8 of their last 10 games in all competitions, but they've drawn once and lost once across that same period. They come to Wales off the back of a 1-1 draw with JK Nomme Kalju, a 1-2 home loss to Flora Tallinn and a 3-1 away win over JK Trans Narva and look more than capable of putting in a dominant display against Caernarfon.
Side with the visitors
A Levadia win with both teams to score looks a perfect fit for this matchup, with the visiting team possessing enough away firepower to justify the low odds, while the hosts will always pose a counter attack threat.
Caernarfon have scored an average of 1.67 goals per home game across all current competitions and will fancy their chances of getting on the scoresheet here, especially if they can keep it tight in the first half, but Levadia's speed and pressing game is tailor-made to create turnovers and stretch this Welsh League outfit.
