- FK Liepaja have split their last two home games (W1, L1).
- FK Decic Tuzi are winless in five away games across all competitions (D1, L4).
- The hosts have averaged 2.20 goals per-game on home ground across all competitions (11 scored in 5), while Decic Tuzi have conceded 8 in five road games.
Montenegrins have the more dangerous attacker
FK Liepaja will be the hosts at Skonto Stadium on Thursday for this UEFA Conference League qualification 2026 clash and Vladimir Vassiljev's men should have the edge in this one. The Latvian outfit have looked solid since the coach switched things up recently and have a settled, structured base to work off which will be useful if they can survive the early stages.
However, Liepaja have dipped of late, winning one and losing four of their last five matches. That's not ideal preparation for a crucial fixture in Europe, although a 4-0 victory over Ogre United at home was a sharp statement of intent last time out.
FK Decic Tuzi arrive on the back of four straight defeats, which leaves them in a bad position going into this clash. Ivan Brnovic's side have had a difficult time of it of late and the manager will need to find an answer to get his men back on the winning track.
Liepaja look too long at 3/2
Liepaja are the slight favourites for this game at 3/2, with Decic coming in at 9/5 and the draw at a huge 21/10. There is definitely a little bit of value in going with the underdog here as it is possible that the visitors could nick a result or at least keep it tighter than the bookmakers expect.
The Montenegrins have been a little more compact and reactive of the two sides so far, with the coach switching between a 4-2-3-1 and a back three look that can hit on the break. Meanwhile, Liepaja have employed a 4-3-3 system at times, trying to stretch the game wide and press together as a team at medium intensity.
The clash of styles should make for an interesting encounter, with the onus on Liepaja to dominate the width and Decic to look to pounce on any turnovers. The visitors have been poor on the road of late, which leads to our home win prediction, but the difference in price between the teams doesn't seem to reflect how close this could be.
Trimror Selimi is Decic’s danger man
Trimror Selimi is the sharpest tool in Decic's box, netting two of his side's four goals across their last five games, but Fellipe Vieira has been Liepaja's danger man, scoring two of their five goals in their most recent five.
