- Villarreal CF are winless at home in LaLiga 2026/2027 (D0, L1).
- Villarreal CF have scored two goals in one home game in LaLiga 2026/2027.
Caution rules, but both teams will have a go
The odds don't make any sense to us for Sunday's fixture at Estadio de la Ceramica, where Villarreal are the clear 29/50 favourites with Levante 43/10 and the draw 3/1. That's understandable for many reasons, but we'll start with the fact that Villarreal have won each of the last three head-to-head meetings between these Valencia rivals.
The home side will take a clear psychological advantage into this derby, especially as they are in poor form themselves, with no wins in their last five games in all competitions (D2, L3). Their most recent two results have been a 2-3 home defeat to Deportivo A Coruna in the league and a 3-2 defeat to Borussia Dortmund in the UEFA Champions League - League Stage 2026/2027, so they should be up for this game on their home ground.
Inigo Perez has been in charge since 1 July 2026 and he has installed a compact 4-2-3-1 and a possession-based approach that they stick to religiously. They like to dominate the ball, build from the back and then spring forward into the opposition's half with vertical passes when space opens up.
Both teams to score is the play
Levante set up in a disciplined mid or low block and will remain compact and look to pounce when they can on counter-attacks. They have conceded three goals away in the 2026/2027 La Liga season and are conceding an average of exactly one per game.
Luis Castro's men will sit in their shape and wait for gaps to open, which could be more of a chess match than the odds are implying. Villarreal will be desperate for three points as they sit 18th in the table on two points from four games and the pressure will be rising on them, while Levante's five points from five games puts them in 13th place.
So, we're passing on the home win and taking Both Teams to Score: Yes at 31/50 because this will be open and both sides have been shaky at the back of late.
