- Alaves have won four of their last five in all competitions (D1, L0) and their last two in LaLiga 2026/2027.
- Valencia are winless in five (D1, L4), with three consecutive defeats coming into Tuesday's game.
- Alaves have a superior home record to Valencia's road record in LaLiga 2026/2027 (W3, L0 vs W0, L1).
Chances of a cagey affair at Estadio Mendizorroza
Deportivo Alaves have made an excellent start to LaLiga 2026/2027 and sit second in the table with 10 points from four matches.
That's not just because they're overperforming, either, as the Babazorros have won four and drawn one of their last five fixtures by any standard.
Quique Sanchez Flores has been in charge since 3 March 2026 and his compact and pragmatic 5-3-2 or a narrow back-three base, flipping to a 4-4-2 seems to be bearing fruit.
Lucas Boye has been the main man of danger for the hosts, netting four goals in three LaLiga 2026/2027 fixtures and six in their last five overall, but Angel Perez has also provided some spark with three assists in four games this season.
Valencia’s momentum has stalled
It could be a close game as Valencia CF are in a slump of their own, coming into this match having lost three of their first four LaLiga 2026/2027 fixtures and losing their only away game of the campaign so far.
Carlos Corberan has been in charge of the Chés since 25 December 2024 and his high-tempo pressing game has yet to fully click, although they are creating plenty of chances.
Umar Sadiq leads the team's scoring charts with one goal in three games, but they have struggled to get the ball to their best players in central areas and the supply line hasn't been as good as it was last year.
Alaves can edge a cagey game
The visitors will set up in a 3-4-2-1 formation with wing-backs and press Alaves out of possession in the centre of the park.
However, Alaves can flip between their 5-3-2 and a 4-4-2 and have the ability to cover the middle of the field in either set-up, while they can also hit on the counter and are more accustomed to keeping things tight at the back.
Alaves should win this game at home on current form, but Valencia will put them under pressure and make it a close contest.
Alaves are the slight favourites at 31/25, with Valencia at 49/20 and the draw at 2/1, but we feel that under 2.5 goals at 31/50 looks like a much better value punt. Alaves have conceded twice in their three home games and this game is likely to be cagey.
Valencia have failed to win either of their two previous matches against Alaves, so we feel the hosts should have enough quality and momentum to edge this one by a single goal.
