- Atletico Madrid have won their last two games against Osasuna and claimed 2-1 away win in LaLiga 2025/2026.
- Atletico Madrid have lost only 1 of their last 5 matches, drawing 1 and winning 3 (excluding 90 minutes).
- Atletico Madrid are unbeaten at home in LaLiga 2026/2027, winning 1 and drawing 1 from 2 games.
Atletico Madrid to edge tight LaLiga encounter
Atletico Madrid should have too much for Osasuna in Wednesday's LaLiga clash at Riyadh Air Metropolitano, where Diego Simeone's men will be seeking a win in the new campaign.
Los Colchoneros are 6th in the table on 7 points, the same tally as Osasuna who are 8th, so there's a lot at stake in this tight-table clash between two traditionally mid-table sides.
Atletico Madrid have won their last 2 games against Los Rojillos and claimed a 2-1 away victory in last season's fixture in the LaLiga 2025/2026 campaign.
They've won 1 of their 2 home LaLiga 2026/2027 games to date, but we'll be focusing on the head-to-head record and Atletico's home record against Osasuna, which has seen Los Colchoneros win 2 of the last 3 meetings in Madrid.
Los Rojillos can’t be trusted with the odds
Atletico have looked very solid in the opening weeks of the season with a 3-1 away win over Sevilla and a 0-3 loss to Athletic Bilbao.
However, they are still prone to breakdowns in the defence when the opposition are on a good day.
Alejandro Baena has been their spark throughout the first few weeks with 3 goals in 4 league games, but Osasuna's Ante Budimir is also in fine form with 4 in 4 and 5 in 5.
Luis Ramis has made Osasuna more direct since taking over in July 2026 and Los Rojillos are not as easy to play against as they were previously.
They do look exposed at the back though, particularly on the counter, and Atletico Madrid will be hoping to exploit that in this fixture.
We'll take the home team to just edge a tight contest here, given the odds for the match result are very much in their favour and Osasuna are a little underpriced at 26/5.
Atletico Madrid's momentum has been slightly stymied, but their recent win over Sevilla FC (1-3) was a good response and defeat to Athletic Bilbao (0-3) was perhaps no more than they deserved given the game was played at Bilbao's home ground.
Budimir to trouble Atletico Madrid defence
Both clubs are very well organised in terms of structure, with Atletico Madrid setting up in a compact 4-4-2 or hybrid 3-5-2/5-3-2 system and Osasuna looking to create overloads on the flanks and get the ball into Budimir's path.
Oscar Fernandez has kept Atletico Madrid's system as it was under Simeone since July 2021 and they are just as compact and tough to break down.
But we're expecting Los Rojillos to take the game to the hosts with the vertical urgency of their approach and the chance to catch Atletico Madrid on the break.
The stats also point to a cagey affair, but the draw at 33/10 is really too short and we'll back Both Teams to Score - No at 91/100 as our fancy bet on a narrow home win.
