- Watford have lost 7, drawn 1 and won 2 of their last 10 games.
- Southampton are on a run of 5 wins from their last 5.
- The Saints are unbeaten in their last 6 away games.
Saints on a roll
Southampton come into this one as slight favourites in the odds at 28/25 with Watford 43/20 and the draw 13/5. I think it will be tough for the Saints to get the job done on Sunday, but they are on a hot run and we feel that they have enough to nick this one.
Watford have been poor and patchy in their recent results. They are winless in their last 2 against Southampton and with the visitors in such good form, we're going for the away win here.
The home side have been all over the place in their most recent 5 games, winning 3-0 at home to FC Hansa Rostock, losing 1-0 at home to AC Fiorentina and then winning 1-0 at home to Crawley Town in the EFL Cup. They've won just 2 of their last 10 in all competitions, drawing 1 and losing 7.
Saints have more than enough bite
Southampton are very much the team in form and come into this on the back of a 5-game winning streak. They've won 6, drawn 3 and lost just 1 of their last 10 in all competitions and away from home, they've won 5 and drawn 1 of their last 6.
This is a clash between Watford's more patient style and Southampton's more aggressive approach, as Alessio Dionisi has his men set up to play positional, structured football in a 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1 shape, whereas Tonda Eckert is all about winning the ball high up the pitch and hitting men on the break. It's a matchup which is suited to the visitors, as they have the momentum and are coming into this game fresh off a 5-game streak.
We think the result that best fits the numbers is a Southampton win and both teams to score, as the goals markets are short and Over 2.5 at 7/10 is just too short, while Both Teams To Score is 3/5. Southampton can win this on the counter and if they make the turnovers early, they could run away with it, but we feel Dionisi's men can make it competitive, especially at Vicarage Road. The goal expectation is certainly there for both to strike, as Watford have conceded 7 in their 5 home fixtures in all competitions, and Southampton have scored 11 on the road.
