- Derby County have failed to win any of their 4 home games in Championship 2026/2027, averaging 0.75 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game on home soil.
- Wrexham have been more solid on the road, averaging 1.00 goals per game and picking up 5 points from a possible 12 in away matches.
- Derby County have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games in all competitions, whereas Wrexham have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1.
Dour Rams set to tangle with direct Dragons
Two clubs will square off at Pride Park on Saturday, with John Eustace's Rams looking to claim three points against Phil Parkinson's Red Dragons.
Derby County are currently 22nd in the table with five points from eight games and look destined for a Championship 2026/2027 relegation battle unless they can turn things around soon. The Rams have lost their last two home games, going down 1-0 to West Bromwich Albion and 2-1 to Birmingham City, before they drew 1-1 away at Burnley last weekend.
Wrexham, on the other hand, bounced back well from their 6-0 away defeat to West Ham United with a 2-1 victory over Southampton at home, making it two wins, two draws and one defeat from their last five games in all competitions. The Red Dragons sit 14th in the Championship 2026/2027 table with 10 points from their first eight games, which gives them a slightly healthier cushion than their opponents but not so much that they can afford to slip up.
Under 2.5 goals and BTTS should hit for cagey affair
The main odds suggest that this game is quite balanced, with both Derby County and Wrexham available at 8/5. However, we feel there's a little bit of edge for the visitors here, particularly considering their 2-1 away win in the reverse fixture and Derby's failure to win their home leg.
Eustace has set up Derby County to be a compact, pragmatic unit, defending deep and protecting the central areas of the pitch. The Rams are strong in transition, where they're looking to counter with some sharpness, but generally lack the quality to keep the ball for long periods and carve teams open.
Wrexham are a different prospect, but they're an equally direct team. Parkinson's side are unit-driven, looking to play on the counterattack, get men behind the ball and play wide deliveries or set pieces. Bobby Clark is Derby's top scorer in the Championship 2026/2027, having notched 2 goals in eight appearances, while Wrexham's leading marksman is Kieffer Moore, who has 3 goals in 8.
Derby's home record of 1 draw and 3 defeats from 4 games, scoring 0.75 and conceding 2.00 goals per-game in that time, doesn't look great and the visitors have been more reliable on the road. We feel this is likely to be a cagey but still playable contest, and are going for under 2.5 goals at 4/5 and both teams to score - yes at 3/4.
