- Team form: Atalanta Bergamo are 11th in Serie A 2026/2027, with 6 points from 5 games played.
- Season start: SSC Venezia are rock bottom of Serie A 2026/2027, with 0 points from 5 outings, following a disastrous start to the season.
- Recent run: Atalanta Bergamo are 2-0-3 in their last 5 matches, while Venezia have lost 5 straight in all competitions.
Backing the Bergamo behemoths
It's far too early in the season for Atalanta to have any kind of commanding lead, but Maurizio Sarri's possession-first 4-3-3 is already making waves in Italy and Atalanta are right up there in the table, in spite of a disappointing recent run of 2 wins and 3 losses in their last 5.
Venezia have suffered a horror start to the new Serie A campaign, losing 5 games from 5, and the last 3 of those – all defeats, including defeats to Frosinone, Fiorentina and Lazio – have been particularly tough to swallow. The visitors have taken only 2 shots at goal away from home in Serie A 2026/2027 so far, while Atalanta are 2-0-1 at home, conceding just 3 times in 3 games. This game is a mismatch on paper and although the hosts are the favorite at 1.54, it's not exactly a walkover as Atalanta are coming into this game on the back of a 3-game losing streak.
Gianluca Scamacca can unlock the Venezia lock
Head-to-head:
Atalanta have 1 win and 1 draw across the last 2 head-to-heads and didn't get the better of Venezia on their home turf when the sides last met in Serie A 2024/2025 – a 0-0 draw.
Players to watch:
- Gianluca Scamacca has been La Dea's sharpest edge so far this season with 2 of their last 4 goals in the last 5 matches, while Ederson leads Atalanta's Serie A scoring chart with 1 goal in 5 appearances, but he's also giving the team a bite from deep with his midfield movements.
- Venezia's Akor Adams is Venezia's top scorer with 1 goal in 5 Serie A games so far, while Gianluca Busio has 2 assists in 4 games.
- Richie Sagrado has added 2 goals in their last 5 matches, so I Lagunari have had some sparks in attack of late.
The bottom club won’t get their first in Bergamo
Tactical outlook
Atalanta's style is built around a very patient build-up from the centre and selective pressing from midfield, so they should control the pace of this matchup against a Venezia team that has to stretch the game wide and go to second balls and transition attacks.
Giovanni Stroppa's men set up in a back-three and overload the flanks, which could suit them as Atalanta are always looking to play through the middle. But Atalanta are simply a much higher quality outfit and will control possession in this matchup, so I'm backing the home side to come out on top in a game that could easily get out of hand.
Prediction
I'm sticking with an Atalanta win and over 2.5 goals for the primary selection and both teams to score in the match as a backup.
