- The Seagulls are the clear favourite to win this fixture at 1.19 with the draw at 6.2 and Tromso IL as the outsider.
- The draw was 0-0 when these two sides met in Tromso in UEFA Conference League Qualification 2026, suggesting this could be a tight chess match.
Seagulls should seal the deal at home
Fabian Hurzeler has instilled a possession-first structure in Brighton & Hove Albion since taking over on 15 June 2024 that invites pressure, breaks the lines and transitions quickly in both directions with players in rotation to maintain the pace. They've won three, drawn one and lost one of their last five matches.
A 1-0 win at home to Bologna was followed by a 0-0 draw in Tromso so the Seagulls have shut up shop at the back and could really do with a goal in this one to put the tie to bed. Yasin Ayari is a real handful when he gets on the ball and his two goals account for half of their four goals in the last five matches.
Tromso are a 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1 system that sets up with compact defending and plenty of aggression on the break and from set-pieces. Isak Dahlqvist has been their main man in UEFA Conference League Qualification 2026 and leads their scoring charts with three in three. Tromso have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten in all competitions so they can be dangerous.
Brighton to edge out the visitors
Away from home Tromso have conceded nine goals, which equates to 1.80 per match on average and leaves them vulnerable to the high average of 2.33 goals per game Brighton have been scoring at The American Express Community Stadium.
Brighton average only 1.00 goals conceded per match at home, however, so Brighton are likely to want to keep it tight in this contest.
We're expecting the hosts to get the job done here but Over 2.5 goals is just 1.5 whilst Both Teams To Score - No is 1.62, so we're going with the home win.
