- Qarabag are in good form, winning 3 consecutive matches in all competitions (W7, D1, L2 last 10).
- Twente come into this having failed to win their last 2 away (D1, L1).
An open game expected in Baku
Qarabag are in fine form going into Thursday's second leg in UEFA Conference League Qualification 2026, following their 1-0 away victory in the first leg. A slender, yet priceless lead should be protected and extended by the hosts, but Twente will want to have a say in this encounter, so there is every chance this game will be a nervy and open contest.
Qarabağ coach Qurban Qurbanov has his men playing at pace, making good use of the pacey runners on the flanks and making quick, direct runs into the space behind the defence when the ball is turned over. The hosts have notched 5 goals in their last 5 matches, with Jaly Mouaddib getting the only 1 goal in this competition so far, while team-mate Oleksii Kashchuk has scored 2 of those 5 goals.
FC Twente boss John van den Brom has seen his men set up in a structured 4-2-3-1 formation, where they play the ball out from the back, circulate the ball patiently and press only when they can win the ball back immediately. They will be confident that they can score in Baku.
Statistics and the form of both teams
Twente's Marko Pjaca has 3 goals in 3 matches in this year's UEFA Conference League Qualification 2026, so he is the most dangerous finisher in their side, while Sondre Oerjasaeter has 4 assists in Twente's last 5 matches, providing a major creative spark from wide and deeper positions.
Twente come into this game on the back of a slightly inconsistent form run (W3, D3, L4 last 10), but they've netted 9 times on their travels this term, averaging 1.80 goals per away game. Qarabag are undefeated at home this year, but they've conceded just 1 goal in their 4 home games, so Twente will be hopeful that they can make a dent in the game.
Punchline
Qarabag will want to keep a clean sheet here and hold onto their lead, but Twente will need to attack the game at some stage, so both teams to score at 1.6 and over 2.5 goals at 1.62 look good choices.
FC Twente are priced at 1.95, while Qarabag are at 3.35, with the draw coming in at a reasonable 3.9.
