- Raków are in slightly better form with five wins, two draws and three defeats in their last ten in all competitions but Hajduk are undefeated in their last five.
- Raków have conceded just three goals at home, an average of 0.75 per game in all competitions, while Hajduk have scored nine away goals at 1.80 per match.
- Raków are slight favourites at 2.07 with Hajduk coming in at 3.4 so this will be a close match, probably too close to call.
Hajduk have a touch more bite in the attacking third
Raków Czestochowa and HNK Hajduk Split shared the spoils in a 2-2 draw at Stadion Rakow in Poland in the first leg of their UEFA Conference League Qualification 2026 tie. With the head-to-head level, neither team have an advantage coming into Thursday's return leg at Stadion Rakow in Poland.
Raków arrive here after a 2-1 away defeat to MKS Cracovia Krakow in Ekstraklasa 2026/2027 and that 2-2 draw with Hajduk, so the momentum is definitely with the visitors who are unbeaten in their last five (W3, D2). A good number of reasons exist to back the draw at 3.4 here and it is the clear 'smart money' option, but we will instead take Both teams to score at 1.67 which also fits the script of that 2-2 draw and the statistics of both sides.
Mahir Emreli top scores for Raków with two goals in five UEFA Conference League Qualification 2026 appearances, but he is also the team's main threat, scoring 2 of their last five goals. Michele Sego is Hajduk's danger man with four goals in three games in this competition, which is also significant for this tie, while he has five of their 15 goals in their last five matches.
Hajduk will press high and Rakow will sit deep
Dawid Kroczek took charge of Raków on 4 May 2026 and his compact and structured approach from a three centre-back and wing-back base (3-4-2-1 / 3-5-2 / 3-4-3 permutations) has made them tough to beat, although not always easy on the eye. UEFA's analysis of them says they set up in a disciplined low block where the wing-backs press wide attackers, but the centre-backs shift across to cover the inside channels.
Hajduk are more aggressive under Gonzalo Garcia, who was appointed as head coach on 1 July 2025. The Bili play a high-tempo style based around either a 4-2-3-1 or 4-3-3 structure, although UEFA analysis says that they press higher and utilise the full backs and long/diagonal passes to create more space and transitions into attack.
This should be a chess match tactically speaking with the hosts looking to soak up pressure and the visitors hunting turnovers. Hajduk are in the better form, but Rakow are the home side and just as tough to score against, so we will lean towards the home team in a game that could just as easily go the other way.
