- Home form: Brighton & Hove Albion average 2.33 goals scored and 1.00 goals conceded per-game at home across all competitions this season.
- Away defence: Tromso IL average 1.80 goals conceded in 5 away games across all competitions this term (9 in total).
- Player form: Yasin Ayari has been a clinical performer for The Seagulls, scoring 2 of their 4 goals in the last 5 matches.
The Seagulls are set to soar again
Market and selection
Brighton & Hove Albion are the clear 1.19 favorites for this, with the draw at 6.2 and Tromso IL the outsider. The market is right, but we think there is more to this than that, so we'll be taking the home win and goals market for our main selection.
Head-to-head
The last head-to-head in UEFA Conference League Qualification 2026 between these sides finished 0-0 at Tromso's home, suggesting that this will be a tense chess match and the hosts will need to earn their win.
Recent form
The hosts' recent form has been very positive, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat across their last 5 games. This has seen them beat Bologna 1-0 at home before securing a solid 0-0 draw against Tromso IL. They now look more solid at the back than ever before.
Manager impact
Fabian Hurzeler has certainly made an impression on Brighton & Hove Albion since being handed the reigns on the 15th June, sharpening up their pressing, playing in a more vertical style and getting the most out of his squad.
Tromso outlook
Tromso IL have been a mixed bag, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last 5 matches, but we see them as a threat here with 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats from their last 10 across all competitions.
Tactical battle
Gutan play a pragmatic, attack-minded 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1 system, which is built on compact defending, suffocating pressing and fast-paced transitions along the wide areas. Brighton will try to lure them into pressing them, before hitting them with quick transitions and rotations.
A tale of the tape
This should favor a home win, but the fact is that Brighton should win this match in a game that could still be close.
- Brighton & Hove Albion have won 5 and lost just 1 of their 6 home games across all competitions this campaign, while Tromso have won 3 and lost 2 of their 5 away games.
- Brighton average 2.33 scored and 1.00 conceded at this ground, but with an average of 1.80 goals against per-game away from home across all competitions, Gutan simply won't hold up.
- Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.5 here, while BTTS - No is a relatively healthy 1.62.
