- Chelsea have averaged 3.67 goals per game at home in the Premier League 2026/2027 season.
- Manchester United are yet to record an away win in the Premier League 2026/2027.
- Chelsea have won their last two matches and are unbeaten in three home games (W2, D1).
Blue's home advantage
Chelsea are 4th in the Premier League 2026/2027 standings after seven games and will fancy their chances of beating United on Saturday. The Blues have started the season with the top-four rhythm they've been lacking for the past couple of years and after three wins, one draw and one defeat from their last five outings, they will be confident of picking up the three points at Stamford Bridge.
A 3-0 defeat at Brentford was a setback but Chelsea responded well with a 5-1 home win over Bournemouth and 2-0 victory away at Everton last time out. Xabi Alonso is implementing his ideas well at Stamford Bridge and while Chelsea aren't quite the best team in Europe yet, they are in a good place right now.
Red Devils are wobbling
United arrive in London in 13th spot with seven points from seven games and that makes them underdogs with the bookies. The Red Devils are 3.8 here and there is some appeal in that but the Blues are the obvious favourites and are priced accordingly at 1.81.
Michael Carrick's side have drawn three and lost once in their four away trips in the Premier League 2026/2027 and are yet to win. They are in no position to take risks here so we should see a pretty chess match, with United's 4-2-3-1 set up allowing them to drop into a compact mid/low block when out of possession and transition into a forward thrust when they win the ball back.
Expecting goals at both ends
A smart alternative to the 90-minute result markets is Over 2.5 goals at 1.5, while Both Teams to Score at 1.48 also appeals in this matchup of two forward-thinking sides. United have been poor of late, with a 2-0 defeat at Atletico Madrid, 1-1 draw at Leeds and a 4-1 loss at Calcio Como their results in the last three games. The result and performances point to a side which isn't gelling and they will have a hard time at Chelsea. Backing the hosts is a good play here as they have an edge in terms of form and control, while United are struggling away from home and have hit a slump. Joao Pedro has three goals in four Premier League 2026/2027 games and looks the most likely finisher for the hosts, while Bruno Fernandes (three goals in five games) is top scorer for United with Bryan Mbeumo having two in his last five appearances.
