- Hapoel Beer-Sheva won the first leg 1-0 and will come to Serbia with a healthy mindset.
- Red Star are clear favourites for the match at 1.36, Hapoel are 7.95 and the draw is 5.46.
- Both teams to score is approaching the coin-flip mark and Under 2.5 goals is a very live 2.52.
Hapoel could hold up Red Star again
Hapoel Beer-Sheva's 1-0 victory in the last leg of their UEFA Champions League Qualification 2026 tie gives them an excellent platform to push Red Star all the way in Serbia and the visitors' away record indicates that they can at least stay in the tie for a while.
Ran Kozuch's men have gone 2-1-1 on the road in all competitions this season, which is a solid return that suggests they can hold up Red Star on Tuesday.
Red Star are in mixed form, but they are as consistent as the visitors. Dejan Stankovic's side have won four of their last five matches, beating Larne 5-0 in home soil in UEFA Champions League Qualification 2026 last week, but they have lost two of their six home games in all competitions (Won 4, drawn 0).
Belgrade's home defense has been breached 11 times in those six games so Hapoel can definitely get on the scoresheet if they can stay compact enough to prevent Red Star from overrunning them.
Tight game expected
The hosts should win the territory battle over the course of the match, but Hapoel's first-leg victory has given them a psychological advantage and we could see a tense, close encounter at Stadion Rajko Mitic.
Red Star's 4-2-3-1 or 4-3-3 should see them pose more questions in the first half, but Hapoel's narrow spine and willingness to transition wide will make life difficult for the Serbians if they overcommit.
Kings Kangwa is providing some bite for Hapoel with two goals in the past five matches as Hapoel have scored six times in that sequence.
Zahi Ahmed is the top man to watch out for with two in his three UEFA Champions League Qualification 2026 games so far, giving Hapoel a sharp edge up front while Bruno Duarte has been Red Star's danger man with a brace in two.
Stankovic's team will want to make amends for the last game but we're taking Hapoel's confidence and structure to see them through a very close contest.
