- France have won eight of their last ten matches in all competitions (D1, L1).
- Sweden have won three of their last ten in all competitions (D3, L4).
- France have conceded only four goals in their five home matches to date in 2026.
France to have too much quality for Swedes
France are the clear favourites to take the prize at 1.45 when they face a Swedish team that may well spoil the contest at 7.3, with the draw sitting in-between at 4.45.
France are on a four-game winning streak coming into this clash, while Sweden have been in mixed form with one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five matches. In their two FIFA World Cup - Group F 2026 games to date, Sweden lost 5-1 to the Netherlands and drew 1-1 with Japan.
France have been soaring in all competitions in 2026 with eight wins, one draw and one defeat in their ten matches. Their first three games in this FIFA World Cup have been a 3-1 win over Senegal, a 3-0 victory against Iraq and a 4-1 away win over Norway in which they showed their ruthlessness.
The two teams have contrasting styles with France more control-oriented and explosive on the break, while Graham Potter has employed a more direct approach with Sweden. The Blue-Yellow have played some neat football at times, but generally speaking, they are a team that is prepared to get involved in dogfights and will attempt to pressure the ball when they don't have it.
This could be a challenging match for Sweden, which will not be a problem if France can get the tempo flowing. France have that ability to explode when they get their rhythm and they'll have too much in reserve for Sweden in New York/New Jersey Stadium.
The market is probably right about the outcome, which is a France win, but the odds suggest it might be a bit of a tough one. Backing Over 2.5 goals at 1.8 or Both Teams to Score at 1.95 is probably the best way to get more bang for your buck.
France's best chance to win will be if they can get the game going in their favour and break with numbers against a Swedish side that will want to make this a sloppy, ground-based contest. Sweden's main threat is Alexander Isak, who has three assists in his last five international appearances and keeps the forward line ticking along for them.
France have some serious end product and can break with pace, so the most likely outcome is a France victory, although it will still be a scrappy game against a team with the ability to threaten on the counter in Isak.
