- The main selection won in three of Netherlands' last five games.
- The main selection was a winner in three of Morocco's last five matches.
A classic clash of styles
These two nations have been on different trajectories in recent outings, but that doesn't necessarily mean that the Dutch have the match-up all to themselves.
Netherlands come into this clash on the back of a two-game winning streak in which they crushed Sweden 5-1 at home in FIFA World Cup Group F 2026 before edging Tunisia 3-1 away from home in the same group.
Morocco's recent run has seen them beat Scotland 1-0 away from home, after a 1-1 draw with Brazil in their opener, before returning home to hammer Haiti 4-2 in Group C of the FIFA World Cup 2026.
The Dutch have a great chance to get some momentum behind them here and they're the slight favourites at 2.05, with Morocco at 3.85 and the draw at 3.3. While Koeman's men are the obvious favourites on paper, we're going to back a cagey draw.
Tight and tense
Morocco are a compact and tough to break side who can really hit on the counter attack and we think they will be able to keep things tight for periods against the superior Netherlands side, especially if they can get on the scoresheet early.
Koeman has the Netherlands playing an adaptable possession-based style of football that can control the build-up play and can also hit teams with some vertical runs when the press is on. Cody Gakpo has scored four of their nine goals across the last five!
Morocco's Ismael Saibari has been their hot hand with four of their ten goals across the same period, but Mohamed Ouahbi's side don't need to be on the scoreboard to win as their best chance of progression here lies in their ability to sit deep, close the middle and then hit the Netherlands on the break.
Going under
The market reflects the fact that this will be a tight game with Under 2.5 goals at 1.69 and BTTS - No at 1.83 both favouring the Under side.
Netherlands have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten in all competitions, scoring 2.50 goals and conceding just 0.88 goals on average at home. Morocco have won seven and drawn three of their last ten in all competitions and have conceded just 0.75 goals per away match.
The most likely result here is a narrow win for the Netherlands, but we're backing the draw in the match result market.
