- Form: France are on a 4-match winning streak and they will be the clear favorites to beat Sweden.
- Recent form: Sweden have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches.
- Odds: France are 1.45 to win, Sweden are 7.3 and the draw is 4.45.
Les Bleus have an extra gear
France arrive at New York/New Jersey Stadium as the clear favorite to beat Sweden and the 1.45 is a shade short for Les Bleus. The Swedes have had their moments of quality in this tournament, but this matchup looks a tough one for Graham Potter's men.
Sweden's last two FIFA World Cup – Group F 2026 results have seen them lose 5-1 away to the Netherlands and draw 1-1 away to Japan. There is a clash of styles here that makes us believe Sweden will do their best to make it a messy game and keep it in the trenches, where they have the best chance of securing a result.
France's system under Didier Deschamps is all about control and bursts of pace. Sweden will be more direct and look to create havoc on the second balls and through compactness.
Sweden will make it tough but the French will find a way
Match outlook
France will win this, but Sweden will do their utmost to make it a tough match and keep the game in the midfield areas. However, there is more of a chance for France to win the vital moments here and Sweden's away record (W0, D1, L2) tells us that they might struggle to cope with the tempo and vertical punch of the French.
Betting tips
France have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 games and we simply cannot ignore the fact that they have it all in the end-product department. This could be a little scrappy, but they showed they can be ruthless in a 1-4 win away to Norway last time out. Our selection is to take the Les Bleus to edge a scrappy game that goes into the second half with France in control.
- Potter's side are a direct threat, however, with Alexander Isak the engine that keeps the attack ticking over.
- The Newcastle man has 3 assists in his last 5 Sweden appearances and is a big reason why we are going for Over 2.5 goals here at 1.8 and Both Teams to Score at 1.95.
