- Fiorentina have two wins, a draw and two defeats from their last five games.
- Atalanta have two wins and three defeats in their last five matches.
- The Viola are 18th in Serie A 2026/2027 with four points from seven games, Atalanta are 11th with nine points from the same number of fixtures.
Fiorentina facing off the back of another defeat
AC Fiorentina enter Thursday's game on the back of a disappointing defeat, having lost 2-1 away at struggling Genoa in Serie A 2026/2027 and 3-1 to Como at home. It's left Paolo Vanoli's men winless in four at home, with one draw and three defeats. But the Viola have a 1-1 draw against Atalanta Bergamo at the Artemio Franchi in Serie A 2025/2026, the last meeting was 1-1 here in the same fixture last term and they haven't lost at Atalanta in their last two away games, so they know how to make life difficult for La Dea in Firenze.
Atalanta Bergamo are also on a two-match losing run, having lost 3-2 at AC Milan in Serie A 2026/2027 and 2-0 at Ajax in the UEFA Conference League. Maurizio Sarri has moulded La Dea into a more structured 4-3-3, with patient circulation, much cleaner progression and coordinated pressing, but they are still looking for their first away win of the season, following three successive defeats on the road.
Sarri should have enough to stifle Viola
The form lines for both Fiorentina and Atalanta look patchy, but there is enough of a lean towards the hosts, who should probably be a little shorter than 5/4, than the visitors, who are 39/20, with the draw 5/2. However, both sides can be avoided here in the correct score market as Sarri is likely to have enough tactical nous to stifle Fiorentina's episodic, transition-based game with his team's more positional approach.
Ederson remains the biggest threat that La Dea can boast in the league, but one goal in five Serie A 2026/2027 appearances shows that the Bergamo club need more bite from midfield, although Nikola Krstovic has hit a bit of form with three of Atalanta's last eight goals, giving them a sharper edge up front.
Franco Mastantuono is the main spark for Fiorentina, with three goals in five Serie A 2026/2027 matches and three of the Viola's last 9 goals. Over 2.5 goals at 67/100 and Both Teams To Score Yes at 11/20 also point to a lively, open game where Fiorentina, which averages 0.75 goals scored and 2.25 conceded per home match, is under the pump.
