- Cardiff average 2.17 goals per home match in the Championship (13/6).
- Burnley average 1.50 goals per away match in the Championship (9/6).
- Cardiff have failed to win their last home game against Burnley.
Bluebirds are still the home side to trust
Cardiff City FC are much the superior side on their own patch right now, winning each of their last 2 home games, but with Burnley still carrying some momentum from 1 win in their last 5, it is the Clarets at 7/4. The draw is available at 59/20, but the Bluebirds make slightly more appeal on the home edge at 61/50.
Brian Barry-Murphy has the Cardiff City boys set up on a possession-first platform, which is built upon by young, mobile players who are capable of stretching sides and breaking forward in transition. The Bluebirds are a compact side that can play a good game when their press is timed right, although not so much when it is a free-for-all.
The Clarets are another possession first team that want to control games and press with structure, so this could very easily turn into a chess match in the centre of the park. Whichever side is able to keep the ball in their pressing zones for the longest and then break will be the more likely to win.
Clarets could be stung by another loss
Burnley have won just 1 of their last 2 away games, so the visitors are hardly set to arrive in Wales with a free-hit in mind. Fabio Celestini's side have been in poor form overall of late with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5.
Zeki Amdouni is Burnley's top scorer with 2 goals in 8 Championship appearances and is the team's sharpest blade. But Cardiff have Jack Moylan, who leads the way with 3 in 8 and has scored 3 of the last 8 Bluebirds' goals in the last 5 games. This is a match that could be settled by either and the value is definitely with the BTTS market at 21/50, while over 2.5 goals is at 12/25.
Cardiff are 17th in the Championship with 14 points from 13 games, while Burnley are 22nd on just nine. The hosts have a better foothold and a solid base at the Cardiff City Stadium, where they're unbeaten in 6 Championship fixtures (W3, D3).
Burnley edge the H2H 3-1 across the last 4 meetings and Cardiff have only won 1 of those, but Cardiff's away win in the EFL Cup last year doesn't bode well for Burnley here on home soil.
