- Newcastle have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 in their last 5 games in all competitions.
- Newcastle have won their only Premier League 2026/2027 away match, conceded zero goals on the road so far.
- Leeds United are unbeaten in their last 5, with 3 wins and 2 draws, including consecutive 1-1 draws against Brentford and Brighton.
Magpies to take the spoils
Newcastle enter Monday's Premier League clash with Leeds United in mixed but dangerous form and I'm leaning towards the Magpies for the win at Elland Road.
Matthias Jaissle's men have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 in their last 5 in all competitions, and have been particularly good on the road, beating Tottenham 2-0 in their only Premier League 2026/2027 assignment so far.
Stalemate of the leaders
This will be a clash of the high pressers against the ball-playing sides, with Daniel Farke's structured passing style and his side's high-energy pressing making them difficult to face. Leeds have been unconvincing with 5 points from 3 games, and they are stuck in 9th place while Newcastle are 7th, also on 5 points.
Leeds can be expected to press high, aiming to rattle Newcastle's buildup, and Leeds can play on the counterattack with the likes of Ao Tanaka adding some control and creativity. The Japanese midfielder has already registered 1 assist in 2 appearances, but a more reliable goalscorer is needed for this Leeds side.
Stalemate likely
Anthony Elanga is Newcastle's main Premier League 2026/2027 threat with 2 goals in 3 games, while Harvey Barnes has hit 4 of Newcastle's last 9 goals across their last 5 games. Anton Stach leads Leeds' Premier League scoring with 1 goal this season and looks a potential midfield runner who can grab a goal. Newcastle's away numbers give them the edge in this fixture and history also leans towards the visitors, but the odds and the form of the two sides suggest a close game is more likely than a runaway. The 91/50 for the visitors is a bit steep when considering Leeds are 147/100 and the draw at 49/20 is a tough bet, so I'm backing both teams to score at 61/100 for some more value in what should be a tight game with chances at both ends.
