- Newport County FC have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five fixtures.
- Rochdale have won four and drawn one of their last five matches.
- The head-to-head finished 1-1 at Rochdale in League Two 2022/2023.
Press versus possession at Rodney Parade
Newport County FC have won three, drawn none and lost two of their five home games in League Two 2026-2027 and Friendly Club Matches 2026 so far, so they are not looking so steady on their own patch this term.
The Exiles' last three results have seen them win 1-2 at Barrow in League Two 2025/2026, draw 0-0 at Bristol City in Friendly Club Matches 2026 and then lose 1-4 at home to AS Roma in Friendly Club Matches 2026, so their momentum is nothing to write home about.
Chris Todd has his side set up to press from the front and then drop into a compact shape, so they can be tricky to play against on their day, but they will only win if they can force enough turnovers. Bobby Kamwa is their main spark at the moment with three goals in his last five appearances, but he is carrying the attack a touch too much.
Across all competitions, Newport have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, which is a mediocre return and leaves them looking vulnerable here.
Rochdale have enough to nick it
Rochdale come into this match as the slight favourites at 33/25 with Newport at 97/50, but the draw is sitting at 47/20, so the market still respects a cagey affair.
Ian Watson has brought a much more possession-first approach to Rochdale and his side can certainly develop play in an organised way from the back with the full-backs stepping into the half-spaces to cause problems.
Emmanuel Dieseruvwe has scored two goals in Rochdale's last five, a run which has seen them pick up four wins and a draw, so he looks the best bet to punish any mistakes that Newport make.
Rochdale are the sharper side
The Sharps are the sharpest side on paper for this matchup and their form line of six wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 10 across all competitions suggests they will be in better shape to avoid defeat.
Away from home in all competitions, Rochdale are unbeaten in five (Won 3, Drawn 2), so they travel well and don't tend to get rolled over by teams with a lot more money than them, which is a definite factor here.
Under 2.5 goals sits at 4/5 and both teams to score at 73/100, which suggests chances could be at a premium, but both teams will get enough to pinch a goal at some stage.
The likeliest outcome is a narrow Rochdale result, but given the circumstances, a draw with a slight bias to Rochdale in the draw no bet market is a smart way to play this one.
