- Team form: Newport County FC have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 in all competitions.
- Away form: Rochdale have won 4 and drawn 1 of their last 5 in all competitions.
Rochdale have momentum for a solid game in Wales
A fixture like Newport County FC vs Rochdale is typically a toss-up and hard to call between two teams that have enough quality to avoid relegation in League Two 2026-2027. However, the slightly better form of the visitors and the fact that they are unbeaten in 5 on the road makes Rochdale the team to favor in this Saturday's game at Rodney Parade.
Rochdale's recent results show they can play in any division and beat any team on their day. The Dale drew 2-2 at Tranmere Rovers before winning on penalties in the EFL Cup 2026/2027 and then beat National League 2025/2026 side Scunthorpe United 2-1 at home. Ian Watson's side can play a possession-based game with a structure to their build-up play, but with full-backs and players who know how to step into dangerous half-spaces.
Newport County FC are a good example of a team that like to press from the front and then drop into a compact shape to make the most of turnovers. This could be a classic press vs possession battle and Rochdale's better form and cleaner record should help them cope with Newport's disruption better than most teams.
Stick with the visitors, but draw no bet is playable
Players and form
Newport, on paper, have the best player of the two clubs at the moment in the form of Bobby Kamwa, who has scored 3 of his team's 5 goals in the last 5 matches. Emmanuel Dieseruvwe has hit a couple in the same period for Rochdale and looks the best value to be on the mark if either of these teams nick a goal.
Recent results and stats
- The Exiles have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches, which includes a 1-2 away win at Barrow in League Two 2025/2026, a 0-0 draw at Bristol City in Friendly Club Matches 2026 and a 1-4 home loss to AS Roma in the same competition.
- Across all competitions, Newport have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats in their last 10, a middling set of results that suggests they could be vulnerable to a team with momentum, which Rochdale most definitely are.
- Newport have 3 wins and 2 defeats in 5 home games across all competitions, conceding 1.80 goals per game on average, which is a big concern.
Odds and recommendation
Rochdale are available at 2.32 to win in Wales, with Newport available at 2.94, so the market seems to favour Rochdale in a tight affair. The draw is set at 3.35, so the odds are still respecting the prospect of a scrappy game rather than a runaway win for the slightly superior side. Backing Rochdale draw no bet covers the scenario where the Exiles can force a tight draw, but the fact that Rochdale are undefeated in 5 on the road gives us the confidence to stick with the away side.
