- Real Madrid are unbeaten at home in LaLiga 2026/2027, winning 3 of 3 and averaging 4.00 goals per game scored.
- Real Madrid have won 4 of the last 5 head-to-heads in all competitions, with Villarreal seeking a first win in this sequence.
Madrid can maintain their stride at home
Jose Mourinho has moulded Real Madrid into a pragmatic and efficient football team in a short space of time and Saturday's visit of Villarreal CF to the Estadio Bernabeu is the perfect chance to maintain their early season momentum in LaLiga 2026/2027.
Los Blancos have posted a decent 3 wins and 2 defeats from their last 5 competitive games and even with the disappointment of the defeat against Atletico Madrid on their minds, their recent form has been impressive.
Madrid recorded their 4-1 home win last time out when Rayo Vallecano were their visitors and their only win away from home so far came when they beat Elche 3-2 in their most recent LaLiga 2026/2027 away match.
The hosts sit 4th in the table with 15 points from seven games and look like they are set for another top-four finish in Spain's top flight.
Villarreal are far less reliable and sit 9th in the standings with eight points from their opening seven games, making them the underdog when they visit Madrid on Saturday.
Villarreal value at big odds
Submarino Amarillo have won their last two games after beating Malaga 3-1 away from home and Levante by the same score at the Estadio de la Ceramica, but their form this season has been up and down.
That should ensure that the hosts are rightfully favourites for this clash, although the odds on the three sides are lopsided.
Madrid are 33/100 to win, whilst Villarreal are 13/2 and the draw is 9/2.
These two clubs have been here before with a similar disparity in odds.
There is a chance that the visitors can get something here as they are an organised and tough nut to crack, but the last meeting between these sides was in April of last season and Madrid won that away game 2-0 in LaLiga 2025/2026.
Pape Gueye can run the show for Villarreal
Madrid should edge it regardless of who is in the driving seat for the visitors as Iñigo Pérez has a team that likes to play a controlled possession game.
They build up and press with a trigger when the press is on, but we're going for a Madrid win here due to the head-to-head advantage and home advantage.
Over 2.5 goals at 3/10 looks like it fits this clash nicely as the home team have been ruthless in front of goal whilst Villarreal have conceded six times in four away games in this new LaLiga campaign.
Both teams to score also looks live at 1/2, although we're sticking with Madrid to win as the main selection here.
Kylian Mbappe remains Madrid's main man and he's the club's leading scorer in the Spanish top-flight with seven in seven, while he has four goals in his last five appearances. Pape Gueye is Villarreal's most prolific player in the league with three in seven, so he looks a good value anytime scorer option for Villarreal.
