- Rigas Futbola Skola's overall form (W7, D2, L1) is much better than their form in the last 5 (W3, D1, L1).
- Jablonec have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
- Rigas Futbola Skola have the better home form (W3, D1) than Jablonec have on the road (W1, D0, L3).
Jablonec are Jolted to the top of the class
Jablonec have beaten Rigas 2-0 in the one previous game between the sides in UEFA Conference League Qualification 2026.
Rigas have the home advantage and better overall form than Jablonec and so have a live chance of nicking this one.
These sides offer two different styles of football with Rigas looking to play with a single striker, overloading the wings and playing fast vertical football when they can break the lines. Jablonec, on the other hand, are a more typical European side who are shape-first, patient and look to dominate central areas by playing through stages.
Rigas have had an excellent season so far under the stewardship of long-time boss Viktors Morozs, who has overseen the club since 25 February 2020. They will be dangerous if this game opens up or if they can get the better of Jablonec at set-piece situations.
Jablonec are on a hot streak, winning their last 4 and 4 of their last 5 games. Lubos Kozel took charge on 1st July and has made them look compact and tactically disciplined so far.
Janis Ikaunieks has 2 goals in 5 games in UEFA Conference League Qualification 2026 for Rigas, while Dusan Pavlovic has 1 in 2 for Jablonec.
Jablonec can keep it tight and secure a positive result
Rigas are the bookies' favourites but we will take the value on the visitors here as they have more momentum and could keep it close enough to win at LNK Sporta Parks, Latvia on Thursday.
It should be a tight contest so we are also going for Under 2.5 goals at 18/25 and both teams to score at 7/10, the latter selection hanging on the fact that Rigas have conceded 3 goals in 4 home games.
