- Rigas Futbola Skola have mixed-to-strong recent form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches in all competitions.
- Jablonec have the momentum, with 4 wins in a row and 4 wins in their last 5 in all competitions.
- Rigas Futbola Skola are a solid defensive unit, conceding just 3 goals in 4 home games in all competitions.
Jablonec have the edge in H2H
Rigas Futbola Skola are the slight bookmakers' favourites at 2.63, with Jablonec at 3.13 and the draw at 2.93 ahead of Thursday's UEFA Conference League Qualification 2026 clash at LNK Sporta Parks in Latvia.
Jablonec are the form favourites going into Thursday's clash, having won 2-0 away at Pardubice in 1. Liga 2026/2027 and 2-0 at home to Rigas in UEFA Conference League Qualification 2026, while Rigas won 1-0 away to Tukums 2000 in the Virsliga 2026.
The hosts have the superior recent overall form however, winning 7, drawing 2 and losing just 1 of their last 10 in all competitions, while Jablonec have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their 10.
Riga can get the better of Jablonec
Lubos Kozel has had Jablonec ticking like a Swiss watch since he took over on 1st July 2024. The visitors are more shape-first and patient than Rigas, who like to create overloads wide of their single central striker and push forward at pace. In Kozel's team, the central zones are solid and the ball is moved through the thirds in phases. That will be a chess match for the hosts, who will want to open the game up and catch Jablonec on the break or with a set-piece.
Jablonec are flying right now, so that won't be an easy task for Rigas, but the home side have had a longer time to work together as a unit under Viktors Morozs since he came in on 25th February 2020, so they should have more of a drilled edge.
Janis Ikaunieks is the main scoring threat for Rigas, with 2 goals in 5 appearances in UEFA Conference League Qualification 2026, while Dusan Pavlovic is on a purple patch for Jablonec, scoring 1 goal in 2 matches in the competition.
Under 2.5 goals is likely
This will likely be a tight fixture, so the slight edge with the bookmakers for the home team is enough to give Rigas a chance to nick it. Under 2.5 goals at 1.72 and both teams to score at 1.7 are the main selections, with a 1-0 win for Rigas my correct score guess.
Rigas have been solid in home turf, winning 3 and drawing 1 of their 4 games and conceding just 3 goals, while Jablonec are 1 win and 3 defeats from 4 away in all competitions, averaging 1.25 goals scored and 3.25 goals conceded per match on the road.
