- Shamrock Rovers FC have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games.
- Floriana FC have won 4 of their last 5 and come into this tie on the back of a 2 game winning streak.
- Floriana FC have won 3 and drawn 2 of their last 5 away games.
Irish champions could find Floriana tough to break
Floriana FC are in rude health at the moment, winning 4 of their last 5 and arriving at Tallaght Stadium on the back of a 2 match winning streak.
The Green and White Stripes landed the first blow in this tie with a 2-0 home win over Shamrock Rovers FC in the last round of UEFA Champions League Qualification 2026.
So Floriana FC have the fresh psychological advantage in this one, but will they be able to make the most of it on the night?
Daniel Portela's side set up in a compact 4-2-3-1, with the disciplined Floriana side sitting deep out of possession, but able to snap into life on the break with their livewire Mustapha Jah.
Mustapha Jah has 1 goal in 1 UEFA Champions League Qualification 2026 appearance and his pace and creativity will give Floriana FC an edge in the final third.
Floriana FC have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 in all competitions, so they are the more in-form side ahead of this clash, but the oddsmakers still rate Shamrock Rovers FC at 9/25 and Floriana FC at 137/20.
So the market makes it very clear which way this should go, but we feel Floriana FC could have enough to make a game of this and make the Irish champions work for their entry into the next round.
Shamrock Rovers FC can play with numbers
Stephen Bradley's Shamrock Rovers FC are a chameleon-like outfit and can adapt from a 4-3-3 to a 4-2-3-1 to even a 3-1-4-2 shape in different phases of a contest.
The Irish champions much prefer to play with the ball, but have the numbers to control the game when they have it and use rotation of the wide men and vertical runs to stretch teams out when they get in behind.
Floriana FC have won 3 and drawn 2 of their last 5 on the road, and their stubbornness on the away should have them well placed to cause an upset.
Bradley's side have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, with their most recent 3 games producing a 1-0 home win over Hibernian FC, a 2-1 win at Sligo Rovers FC and a 2-0 defeat away at Floriana FC.
Floriana FC can make the champions work for their win
At home, in all competitions, Shamrock Rovers FC have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, but only 4 goals have been conceded during that run (average 0.80 conceded per game).
Floriana FC score an average of 1.60 and concede 0.80 goals per game on their travels, which is a solid away profile and suggests they can travel well.
Our overall conclusion is that this game will be won by Shamrock Rovers FC, but the odds and the last meeting between the sides suggest it will be a cagey game.
The Under 2.5 goals market is available at 9/10 and Both Teams To Score - No at 61/100 looks like the best bet, with a narrow 1-0 home success our pick in the correct score market.
