- Team form: Brighton have won four of their last five Premier League games, currently enjoying a three-game winning streak.
- Chelsea form: Chelsea have lost four of their last five top-tier games, suffering three consecutive defeats.
- Player to watch: Danny Welbeck has scored 12 goals in 31 Premier League appearances this season, including 3 in their last 5 games.
Brighton and Chelsea set to share an open game
Brighton will be favorites to win on Tuesday when they welcome Chelsea to the Amex Stadium, a team they have beaten in each of the last three head-to-head meetings. The Seagulls’ recent success against the Blues includes a 3-1 win at Stamford Bridge six months ago.
Brighton enter this encounter in fine form, winning four of their last five Premier League matches, with Fabian Hurzeler’s side currently enjoying a three-match winning streak that has seen them beat Liverpool 2-1 at home and Burnley 2-0 away.
The Seagulls are enjoying an excellent season, with their overall record of 46 points from 32 games leaving them in 9th place in the 2025-2026 Premier League table, but their performances under Hurzeler have made it hard to call.
Hurzeler’s Brighton set to test Chelsea’s pressing style
Brighton’s approach:
Hurzeler’s approach revolves around maintaining possession, changing shape, and controlling the tempo of games. Hurzeler’s men have been more positive in recent weeks, but they are patient when necessary and can be very clinical when opponents finally commit and open up space, at which point Brighton strike vertically with their clinical finishers.
Chelsea’s pressing and form:
Chelsea, on the other hand, are more about high-tempo pressing and quick transitions, which has led to some impressive victories but has also highlighted their defensive flaws. Liam Rosenior has done his best to steady the ship since taking charge in January 2026, but his tenure has been a tough one.
The Blues sit 6th in the table with 48 points from their first 32 games and they head into this game in terrible form, following four defeats from their last five matches including a 3-0 reverse away to Everton and a 3-0 home loss to Man City.
Expect goals when two equally unbalanced sides meet
We see this encounter being a chess match, as Brighton’s patient build-up will test the quality of Chelsea’s press and the speed of their transitions, but a match between two similarly unbalanced sides with defensive frailties should lead to an open, attacking game.
They score an average of 1.50 goals per game at the Amex this season while conceding 1.06, so we’re backing a home win, over 2.5 goals and BTTS selections, with odds of 2.58, 1.73 and 1.53, respectively, offering some value.
- Joao Pedro has been Chelsea’s only reliable goal threat all season, with the Brazilian striker hitting 14 goals in 32 appearances in the Premier League.
- He has scored three of Chelsea’s four goals in their recent run of defeats, so his clinical finishing will be a significant factor on Tuesday.
- Alongside Brighton’s excellent form, the hosts boast an impressive home record in the Premier League, winning seven, drawing six and losing just three of their 16 home games.
