- Head-to-head: AC Milan have won all five of the last five H2H encounters in all current competitions.
- Home form: AC Milan have conceded zero goals in their only home game in Serie A 2026/2027 (W1).
- Away scoring: Lecce have scored an average of 1.00 goals per game away in Serie A 2026/2027 (W1, L1).
AC Milan can make a statement
AC Milan will be in good spirits when they return to San Siro on Sunday to face Lecce, as they look to continue their unbeaten run in all competitions. The Rossoneri are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions (W3, D2), but they are currently on a two-game streak of draws after 1-1 at Juventus and 2-2 at Lazio.
However, they are fifth in the table with eight points from four games and that's a pretty solid base on which to start their chase for the Scudetto. The Rossoneri have the quality to win this game against a Lecce side that have struggled in their trips to AC Milan recently, although it may not be as easy as the odds suggest.
The Giallorossi are 12th in Serie A 2026/2027 with six points from their first four games, which is a respectable enough return that keeps them in the pack. They come to San Siro on the back of a 4-0 home defeat to Roma, a 1-0 away loss to Cagliari and a 3-2 home win against Monza.
Ruben Amorim has Rossoneri flying
Milan's pressing and transitions
Ruben Amorim has wasted no time in imprinting his back-three, high-tempo style onto this AC Milan squad and the players are pressing the life out of the ball at the moment. They turn the ball over regularly and are making the most of those transitions, so expect to see them get turnovers in the channels, as Lecce will have to deal with the width of Milan's back-three pressing setup.
Lecce's approach and threats
Eusebio Di Francesco has made Lecce a compact side that doesn't give much away and they like to keep the ball down and dominate possession. They still have a wide style of play and a lot of their counters come from the flanks, so there could be some space for Danilo Veiga to create from the wide areas.
- Lecce's main threat is Lassana Coulibaly, who has two goals in four Serie A 2026/2027 games.
- He has scored two of their last three goals, so he could be a good bet for an anytime goal here.
- He could be supplied by Veiga, who has also had a good season so far with two assists in four Serie A 2026/2027 matches.
Lecce have struggled in Milan
Alphadjo Cisse is the main threat for Milan with two goals in his four Serie A 2026/2027 appearances, so the hosts have a reliable and prolific player to win matches like this. AC Milan are the clear favorites here at 1.29, while Lecce are 9.5 outsiders and the draw is priced at 5.0.
That's a big price on Milan, so we're taking the smarter but still strong odds in the Both Teams To Score: No market at 1.65, as this fixture has been dominated by Milan in recent years, with a 1-0 win here seven months ago in the Serie A 2025/2026 campaign. This could be another tight game, but the gap between these sides this year is arguably even greater and Milan should have far too much of the overall quality and control. Lecce have won one and lost one of their two away games this season, so the San Siro has been a difficult place to find success recently.
