- Morocco have won three and drawn two of their last five matches.
- Netherlands have won two of their last three matches.
- Netherlands have averaged 2.50 goals per game while conceding 0.88 goals in their five home games to date.
Dutch in dangerous form
Netherlands come into this clash as the slight favourites at 21/20, but Morocco will not be pushovers at all at 57/20 and the draw is priced at 23/10, which is fair enough given the respective forms of each team.
Ronald Koeman's men are in mixed-to-strong form with three wins, one draw and one defeat from their last five games and they have enjoyed two consecutive victories after demolishing Sweden 5-1 at home in FIFA World Cup Group F 2026 and beating Tunisia 3-1 away.
Morocco are also in strong form, drawing 1-1 away to Brazil and then beating Scotland 1-0 away before dispatching Haiti 4-2 at home.
Koeman’s possession-based system can be a winner
This is a classic possession versus counterpunch clash and Morocco will be well set up to frustrate the Dutch in this manner on Tuesday. The Atlas Lions are a compact, transition-heavy team that play in a deep block and like to close down the middle of the pitch before springing fast counters.
Netherlands are flexible and can play some good possession-based football, but they've got a little bit of everything with the quality to play their way out of tight spots in the middle third and the quality to break teams down when the press is applied.
That could be a problem for Morocco, as they will surely try to remain compact and prevent the Dutch from breaking through their lines in the early stages.
Morocco can be dangerous in transitions
Cody Gakpo is the big danger man for the Netherlands, who have scored nine goals in their last five, with the striker scoring four of those himself. Koeman's side will feel confident that they can outscore Morocco in this one, while Morocco's hot hand in their latest five is Ismael Saibari, who has scored four times, contributing to their 10 goals in the same five games.
Across all competitions, Netherlands have six wins, three draws and one defeat from their last ten, so they are a solid outfit and have the momentum coming into this contest. Morocco, meanwhile, are also in solid form with seven wins and three draws from their last 10 games, so they will arrive with their tails up.
The value selection
The draw has some value in this game, but it's more likely that the Netherlands will have to find a way to snatch a win in what will probably be a cagey game. Under 2.5 goals and BTTS-No are both priced generously, coming in at 69/100 and 83/100 respectively, and the value is in the Under 2.5 market here.
