- Team form: Netherlands have won three, drawn one and lost one of their last five matches, while Morocco have won three and drawn two of their last five.
- Current runs: Netherlands have a two-game winning streak, while Morocco have a ten-game unbeaten run.
A classic possession versus counter-attack matchup
Odds and markets
Netherlands are the slight favorites at 2.05 to take the win in the odds market, with Morocco valued at 3.85 and the draw at 3.3 in the match odds market, but I feel that it's a pretty tough call.
I will go with the Dutch to win or the draw in the double chance market and I will take the Under 2.5 goals option at 1.69 and Both Teams To Score – No at 1.83 in the goal markets.
Tactics and matchup
Ronald Koeman has the Netherlands playing an interesting style of flexible possession football and they are able to dictate tempo and keep it flowing when they have the ball, but they also have the ability to burst forward and create verticality in a more direct way when the opponent presses them.
Morocco are a different story entirely. Mohamed Ouahbi has them set up in a very compact shape, they are very good at closing the middle and nullifying possession but they're a good counter-attacking team and they play fast when the ball is won back.
This is a classic matchup, and if Morocco are able to remain compact and can spring counter attacks against a Dutch team that has to push forward then they could keep this tight for a while. However, they need to be careful because if the Dutch can break them down early then the Moroccan shape could disintegrate.
Dutch can cause Morocco problems
Netherlands are on a two-game winning spell after beating Sweden 5-1 at home and Tunisia 3-1 away in the FIFA World Cup Group F 2026, while Morocco are on a two-match winning streak after a 1-1 away draw with Brazil, a 1-0 away victory against Scotland and a 4-2 win at home over Haiti in Group C.
The Netherlands have won five, drawn two and lost once at home in all competitions, while Morocco have won three and drawn one of their away games in this tournament. In all competitions, Morocco are unbeaten in ten games with seven wins and three draws.
The most likely outcome of this game is a close win for the Netherlands, but there's a decent chance that Morocco can frustrate them and get a draw.
- Cody Gakpo is the danger man for the Netherlands as he has four of their nine goals in this five-game run.
- Ismael Saibari is in good form for Morocco as he has netted four of their ten goals in the same five-game period.
