- Raków Czestochowa are the slight favorites at 107/100, just ahead of Hajduk at 12/5 with the draw priced at 12/5.
- A draw in the second leg is highly possible but the home side may edge it.
- Mahir Emreli is the main threat for Raków with 2 goals in 5 UEFA Conference League Qualification 2026 matches.
An even contest at Stadion Rakow
Raków Czestochowa and HNK Hajduk Split drew 2-2 in Poland last week to leave this UEFA Conference League Qualification 2026 qualification tie nicely poised ahead of Thursday's return leg in Poland. The head-to-head is now level after that result and the form of both teams suggests this will be another close contest.
Raków head into the game with the same record as Hajduk having won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 in all competitions. But the visitors have fared better of late, avoiding defeat in their last 5 matches (Won 3, Drawn 2) and arriving in Poland in better shape than the hosts after a 1-2 away win at NK Gorica in HNL 2026/2027 and that 2-2 draw with Raków.
Dawid Kroczek was appointed Raków coach on 4 May 2026 and his side have a compact, structured set-up with a three-man defensive base and wing-backs in a 3-4-2-1, 3-5-2 or 3-4-3 system. Medaliki are disciplined in a low block, sitting deep and compact with their three centre-backs blocking the central channels and the wing-backs pressing wide.
Hajduk play a more aggressive system, based around a 4-2-3-1 or 4-3-3, under Gonzalo García, who took charge on 1 July 2025. The Spaniard has added a high-tempo pressing game to a team that usually played a nice game of football under his predecessor. Bili are always looking to make a fast transition, with their full-backs and wide midfielders capable of creating space with vertical long and diagonal passes.
Match is anyone's to take
These two teams are well matched and it's difficult to separate them based on the draw at Stadion Rakow and the overall form and performances of each side, so we're going to side with the hosts as they should have the edge playing at home. But as this could easily go either way, we'll look for some smart alternatives to the straight win markets, where the odds are very tight.
Both teams to score at 67/100 looks a solid play here as it fits well with the 2-2 first-leg script and the attacking numbers that both coaches have at their disposal. Raków have only conceded three goals in four home games in all competitions (average 0.75) and Hajduk have scored nine on the road (average 1.80), so the stats also back up the play.
A draw in 90 minutes is also a clear possibility, so for those looking for a lower-risk option in the correct score market, 2-2 looks a decent alternative.
