- Stjarnan are the slight favourites to win this UEFA Conference League qualifier at 2.12.
- Ilves Tampere are priced at 3.18 for the win and the draw at 3.85.
- Stjarnan have won two of their last five (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss) and are unbeaten in two at home.
Stjarnan are the favourites for a home win
Stjarnan are the slight favourite to win this UEFA Conference League qualification match at 2.12, but there are a few factors which may be of interest for those looking for value in this tie.
Firstly, Ilves Tampere are in the midst of a transition period with the Finns not quite bedding in yet after Camilo Speranza took over on 6 July 2026. Secondly, the visitors have not been the most convincing in their recent away games with one draw and two defeats from their last three on the road.
Stjarnan boss Joekull Elisabetarson has overseen a much more settled ship since his appointment on 12 May 2023 and he has a strong identity for this team to play off.
Ilves Tampere are a streaky side
Ilves Tampere's record of four wins, two draws and four losses from their last 10 in all competitions is a streaky one that can suddenly change tempo. They are a compact side that like to sit deep in a 4-2-3-1 system and then spring forward on the counter attack with their livewire leading the line. Stjarnan are a 4-3-3 side that will look to stretch the field with their wide players and try to switch play quickly to break through the visiting side. The Icelandic side are capable of scoring multiple goals in a game, but have shipped 10 in their last five in all competitions, so we are looking at a game that could be decided by a goal either way.
Expect a tight game with a home edge
Emil Atlason is Stjarnan's most dangerous player with three goals in two UEFA Conference League qualifiers and four in their last five overall, but Ilves Tampere have their own dangerman in Jardell Kanga. The Finns' centre forward has scored three of their seven goals in their last five games and has a sharp touch on the ball.
Both sides have shown they can score in European competition, so Stjarnan draw no bet is the primary selection for the match while a bet on the hosts to score twice or more covers the possibility of a draw in this match.
Stjarnan have scored 2.20 goals per game at home and conceded 2.00 in their five home games in all competitions to date, which looks about right for a close win for the home side given the fragility of the visitors on the road.
