- DAC Dunajska are the clear favourites against FK Velez Mostar, at 1.47.
- Velez's away record of 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches indicates they are vulnerable on the road.
- DAC have won 5 of their last 10 games in all competitions (Drawn 1, Lost 4).
A tight game is expected
DAC Dunajska enter this game as the clear favorites against FK Velez Mostar and they should use the momentum of a strong home record to win this fixture at MOL Arena on Thursday. Robert Klauss' side have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 home games in all competitions.
Klauss has DAC playing an upfront game where they press, transition quickly and push players forward when they win the ball. It's a formula that can unsettle compact teams and Velež are a compact team. Ibrahim Rahimic has his men set up in a disciplined 4-2-3-1 where they are compact, control the centre of the park and hit men on the counter. This looks like a clash of styles where the home side should have the edge.
Velez’s solid run can be breached
Velez have been very solid of late, winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 1 of their last 5, but DAC have just a little more bite to their game. The Slovakians have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, but their 2-1 win over Bolton Wanderers at home was a good effort and they look capable of matching up well against Velež in this fixture.
DAC have scored 2.20 goals per game at home this season and conceded an average of 1.00 goal per game at MOL Arena, so this will certainly be a front-foot fixture. Giorgi Gagua has been their best player in recent matches, netting 3 of DAC's 7 goals in their last 5, and he looks the likeliest man to register a goal on Thursday.
Aldin Mesic is Velez's top-scorer in this year's UEFA Conference League Qualification with 1 goal in 2 games, but he is just as likely to get a goal here as anyone else for the visitors. Velez have conceded an average of 1.20 goals per away match in all competitions, which tells you that their back line has been punchable on the road this season, and that is likely to be the case here.
It could be a little tighter than the bookies think, if Velez sit deep and frustrate the hosts in the early stages, but DAC should have enough firepower to break it eventually, so I am sticking with the home win.
