- Team form: Udinese Calcio sit 17th in Serie A 2026/2027, with 4 points from 7 games.
- Season start: AC Milan are fourth in Serie A 2026/2027, with 15 points after a good start.
- Head-to-head: Udinese Calcio have won 1 and lost 4 of the last 5 Serie A head-to-head clashes, with no draws.
Chess match in the Friuli?
Odds and context
AC Milan will be clear favorites at 1.87 to win Sunday's Serie A 2026/2027 clash against Udinese at the Bluenergy Stadium, but it is not an automatic pick for bettors to take. Le Zebrette have taken just one draw and three defeats from four home games in the new Serie A 2026/2027 campaign and the Friuli has not been much of a fortress during Kosta Runjaic's tenure.
Form and head-to-head
Udinese come into this matchup on a two-game losing streak after being beaten 3-0 at home by Lecce and then 2-1 away to Torino in Serie A 2026/2027, while AC Milan enter the contest in good form after winning their last two matches – coming from behind to beat Atalanta 3-2 at home in Serie A and then thrashing Salzburg 4-0 away in the Europa League.
The Rossoneri are also unbeaten on the road in the Italian top-flight, with one win and three draws from four trips, making them the more reliable travelling party in this matchup. But Udinese have failed to win any of their last 3 home games against AC Milan in Serie A, and the Zebrette upset Milan 3-0 in the Rossoneri's own back yard less than 12 months ago. Those factors should keep bettors away from Milan's odds-on quote, while the draw at 3.6 also looks far too short given the home side's poor record.
Milan can be breached
Milan are the stronger side, in better form and in a higher league position, so a Rossoneri win looks the only realistic outcome. But Udinese have a few other factors in their favour, such as Milan conceding an average of 1.25 goals per game on their away record in the current Serie A 2026/2027 season and the fact they only need to score once.
Tactics
Milan are well drilled in Ruben Amorim's fluid 3-4-2-1 or 3-4-3 system, where they dominate possession, press high, and have a fluid transition game through the half-spaces. Udinese will try to clog those lanes, with their back-three system and wing-backs, and then hit direct, long balls and aerial challenges. The contrast in tactics should make for a tactical matchup and under 2.5 goals at 1.87 looks a solid alternative if Udinese can clog the lanes and keep the game tight.
Key players
- Hassane Kamara leads the way in Serie A 2026/2027's goal-scoring charts with two goals for Udinese, so they are short on finishers while the Zebrette have only managed to score two goals at home in the Serie A 2026/2027 to date.
- Jurgen Ekkelenkamp has two of those four goals in their last five matches, so he will have to be on target again for Udinese to secure any points from this clash.
- Diego Moreira has been AC Milan's most reliable finisher in Serie A 2026/2027, netting three goals in three games, while the Brazilian also has three of their ten goals in their last five competitive games.
