- AS Monaco have won three, drawn one and lost one of their last five matches.
- KS Gornik Zabrze have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five games.
Home side are top of their game
AS Monaco are the strong favourites at 3/10 for Thursday's UEFA Conference League play-off against the 8/1 outsiders KS Gornik Zabrze with the 43/10 draw also available. It's important to note that this is not just a glorified friendly as a Conference League league phase place is at stake for the winner, so it is an important matchup.
Filipe Luís took charge of Monaco on 6 July 2026 and has made Les Rouge et Blanc a team with a real personality in his own image. They are a patient, possession-first side that can play with a midfield overload, but their real threat comes when they can break forwards into the half-spaces.
The Monegasques have won five, drawn one and lost four of their ten matches in all competitions, which is a solid, but not spectacular record. However, Paris Brunner has come up with three goals in his last five appearances, providing Monaco with a sharpness in the final third.
Direct and dangerous in transition
Michal Gasparik has done an equally good job since taking charge of Górnik on 1 July 2025, turning Trójkolorowi into a compact, direct team that are dangerous in transition. They have won four, drawn two and lost four of their previous ten in all competitions, so the form looks mixed.
Górnik's last three fixtures have seen a 1-1 draw at home to Ferencváros, a 2-1 win at home to Wisła Kraków and a 3-2 defeat at home to Monaco. The clash between Monaco's control of the game and Górnik's preference for a more direct tempo should create chances on the break for both sides, but Monaco have a greater quality on the ball.
The final verdict
AS Monaco are very much the better side on paper, but the price for a home victory is a bit short. A BTTS Yes selection at 1/1 and an Over 2.5 goals bet at 3/5 covers the fact that this could still be a close match. Lamine Camara has one goal in one game for Monaco in Conference League qualification while Erik Prekop has scored one goal in one in the same competition for Górnik, making him the club's top-scorer in this year's qualification campaign. We're taking the Monaco win at 3/10 as a way to make up for the fact that we think Górnik will ensure this is a competitive match.
