- Freiburg have won four of their last five matches and have won three straight games.
- Motherwell have won one, drawn two and lost two of their last five and have lost back-to-back games.
Freiburg favourites to finish the job
SC Freiburg lead UEFA Conference League Qualification 2026 3-1 from the first leg and the 2-goal cushion should be enough to see them through to the next round on Thursday.
Julian Schuster's men are a well-balanced and solid side with plenty of quality and a good sense of structure. They are compact when they need to be, their pressing isn't overly aggressive, but they will put a few tackles in if opponents become too comfortable in possession and they can strike fast and vertical when a gap appears.
The visitors aren't a bad side, but they are a little all over the place and their rotation-heavy 4-2-2-2 system relies on quick combinations and a high-energy, high-intensity pressing style that could clash with Freiburg's preference for control.
Motherwell can match Freiburg for intensity but they lack the quality and efficiency that the Bundesliga side possess.
The visitors have won just one of their previous five matches and have lost their previous two, while the home side have won their latest three games in a row.
The hosts are the clear favourites at 17/100 and even the draw comes in at 57/10, so it's very much expected that they'll see out the match.
In addition to their form, Freiburg have the biggest match danger with German international Matthias Ginter, who has scored two goals in one UEFA Conference League Qualification 2026 appearance so far, and Motherwell's Ibrahim Said has two in four.
Lucas Hoeler has three goals in his last five Freiburg games and the Breisgau-Brasilianer can edge this clash, which is likely to have plenty of tactical tension.
Freiburg have scored seven goals in their latest five games but we don't expect this game to have much goalmouth action. The Steelmen have conceded seven goals in their five competitive away games this term, an average of 1.40 per game.
Under 2.5 goals could be the angle to take, priced up at 147/100, but the BTTS-NO option is also worth a look at 11/20.
