- Larne have won two of the last three head-to-heads, with Lincoln Red Imps taking the other. No draws.
- Larne have won one, drawn two and lost two of their last five matches (W1 D2 L2).
- Lincoln Red Imps have won none, drawn two and lost three of their last five (W0 D2 L3).
Tight and tense at Inver Park
Larne will be feeling fresh for this rematch of their 2024 UEFA Conference League play-off after beating Lincoln Red Imps 2-0 away yesterday. A place in the group phase of the league stage will be the prize for the winner of this clash, which has seen no draws in three meetings.
It will be a clash of styles, as Gary Haveron has led Larne since 15 October 2025, adopting a pressing approach that is more about phases than formations but can morph between 4-3-3 and 4-2-3-1 systems. They will typically switch between 4-3-3 and 4-2-3-1 and have enough to be dangerous in both, but they are also capable of sitting in a shell and protecting leads when needed.
Lincoln Red Imps are managed by Juanma Pavon, who came in on 1 July 2026, and have a completely different style. They will line up in a compact shape and look to punish turnovers, set pieces and counterattacking opportunities. They are rarely the dominant team in games, preferring to play in a low block and look to nick a goal.
Home advantage should see Larne through
Larne are 103/100 favourites here, which is surprising considering Lincoln Red Imps are 131/50 and the draw is 133/50. The home side have won two, drawn one and lost one of their four home matches in all competitions, so they are tough to beat on their own patch and will be fresh from the win yesterday.
The Imps have won just one, drawn two and lost two of their five away matches, although they have scored 11 goals on the road in this period. Kevin O'Hara is the best chance that Larne have of getting on the scoreboard after scoring one goal in one game in this UEFA Conference League Qualification 2026 season, he gives them a good edge up front.
Lincoln Red Imps are winless in their last two, so it is hard to side with them against a fresh Larne side. Haveron's side have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten across all competitions and they will have the ball more in this clash than they would have liked.
Lincoln Red Imps have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten in all competitions and will be tough to break down, so the best angle might be under 2.5 goals at 19/20.
