- DAC Dunajska have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches.
- FK Velez Mostar have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, with the defeat coming away.
- DAC are 47/100 odds on to win the home leg of this tie at MOL Arena on Thursday.
DAC Dunajska are favourites
DAC Dunajska are the heavy favourites to defeat FK Velez Mostar in the home leg of their UEFA Conference League Qualification 2026 tie, and it's easy to see why when looking at the stats.
Robert Klauss' side are playing a vertical, aggressive game where they press high, transition quickly and always look to push the game forward. The Slovakian outfit are a team to be played at rather than played against, with 7 goals in their last 5 and a front foot game that can unsettle the more compact, defensive units in the early exchanges.
FK Velez Mostar, who are set up in a 4-2-3-1 structure by Ibrahim Rahimic, will certainly fall into that category as their two lines of four and three are compact, strong in the middle and capable of striking on the counter with real purpose.
Giorgi Gagua is DAC's most obvious threat, scoring 3 of the team's 7 goals in the last 5 matches and getting into the penalty area with real intent, but FK Velez Mostar have Aldin Mesic to counter, with the winger scoring 1 goal in 2 appearances in UEFA Conference League Qualification 2026.
Hosts have the bite and the polish
DAC have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 and are in good form as a result, while Velez have been a little more consistent in their 2, 2 and 1 run in the same 5 games.
However, DAC have the superior form and have the firepower to get at the back line of Velez, who have conceded 1.20 goals per away game across all competitions.
Velez are a solid and resilient team that are as good as their stats suggest, but we feel that Klauss' men have the quality and the bite to break them down, with a home win on the night our tip in this match.
While DAC have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 in all competitions, we feel the hosts will be too much for the visitors, who have won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of the same 10. It could be tight if Velez sit deep and frustrate DAC in the first 20 minutes, but we still feel the Slovakian side should have enough in the tank to get a tight victory.
