- Flora Tallinn have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches.
- The New Saints FC have won 7 and lost 3 of their last 10.
- TNS have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their 6 away matches in all current competitions.
Flora to flop against TNS’ trip prowess
Flora Tallinn are favourites to beat The New Saints FC at 53/50 when the Estonian side host the Welsh visitors in UEFA Conference League Qualification 2026 on Thursday.
The draw at 11/4 and the away side at 119/50 sit behind Flora in the three-way match result market, so the double chance market makes far more sense.
Flora have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 in all competitions, so they have some upside in their form, but they have also shown enough weakness to suggest they can be turned over. Konstantin Vassiljev's side have been building attacks with patient circulation.
TNS travel to A Le Coq Arena with a different gameplan altogether in mind, with Craig Harrison's side set up to be flexible and pragmatic, but with a keen edge to move the ball vertically and press in bursts.
TNS can nick the win that will send them through
Daniel Williams has hit three of TNS's eight goals in their last five games, so The New Saints have their finishing edge and enough of a pedigree from Harrison's four years in charge to suggest they can spoil the script on Thursday.
Flora are conceding 2.50 goals per game on home turf with 10 goals conceded in total and are without a win in four at home in all of the competitions they are currently competing in (W0, D0, L4). That is a massive red flag for a home side coming into this clash.
Tony Varjund has been a decent outlet for Flora in recent matches with three goals in their last five, but we're taking TNS to nick the goal that will put them through to the next round.
Harrison's men have averaged 1.83 goals per away game in all of their current competitions and conceded just 0.67 goals.
This game will be a chess battle, but TNS's away form this season and their ability to win on their travels tells us this will be more than a home banker.
Flora will look to control the pace and stretch the TNS defence, while the Welsh side will want to nick the ball high and play the counter-attack.
The battle in midfield, and on second balls and set pieces, will be key.
