- Levadia Tallinn are the clear favourites at 23/100, but we feel Caernarfon could make a game of this one at 17/2.
- Caernarfon Town FC are in poor form, with 4 wins and 6 defeats in their last 10 in all competitions.
- Levadia are on a run of 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5, while Caernarfon have 3 wins and 2 defeats in their last 5.
A tale of two styles
The 5-0 hammering that Levadia inflicted on Caernarfon in the first leg has turned this tie into a virtual mountain, though this game should be more of a test for the Estonians. This is a clash of styles in the purest sense, with FC Levadia Tallinn having the ball and the Welsh side wanting a scrappy game.
Vjatseslav Zahovaiko has set Levadia up in a 4-3-3 formation and they've been more than competent in all departments. Their ball control, pressing and territorial dominance should be enough to keep them in the driving seat, as long as Caernarfon can't turn this into a scrappy, aerial battle.
Richard Davies' men have been very British in style, utilising width, a direct approach, physicality and prowess in the air, as well as second balls. The Welsh outfit will need to find that scrappy approach again if they're going to give themselves a chance of a comeback, though Caernarfon are in much worse form than Levadia heading into this one.
Tallinn are the team to back
Levadia have won 8 of their last 10 in all competitions, drawing once and losing once. Caernarfon, meanwhile, have won 4 of their last 10 and have been defeated in 6. The hosts are coming off the back of a two-game winning run and are the more prepared and well-drilled side, something we saw in the first-leg rout.
The hosts' front three have been sharp and deadly in transition, feeding off early pressure and fast service. If Caernarfon are to get back into this tie, they will need Adrian Cieslewicz and their wide men to shoulder the scoring burden after the Pole's two goals in their last 5, in which he's netted 2 of their 6 goals. Levadia's Enock Otoo, with 1 goal in 1 game, is the team's top scorer in UEFA Conference League Qualification 2026 so far.
We're going for another Levadia win in this game and we feel the odds are good enough for us to back the Estonian side to win and for there to be under 4.5 total goals. Levadia have the firepower to finish this off, but even if Caernarfon come out swinging, this should end with a comfortable home victory.
