- Team form: FC Levadia Tallinn are on a two-game winning streak, coming into this game.
- Opposition form: FC Caernarfon Town FC have mixed form in their last five, with 3 wins and 2 defeats, but they lost 5-0 in the previous leg.
- Recent record: Levadia have won 8, drawn 1, and lost 1 of their last 10 in all competitions.
Lads look to make it three times a charm
FC Levadia Tallinn are 1.23 favorites to dispatch Caernarfon Town FC in Estonia on Thursday, and for good reason. Last time out, the Estonian giants turned the Welsh minnows inside out in a 5-0 thrashing that has put Caernarfon in an impossible position in the race for qualification to the UEFA Conference League.
At 9.5, Caernarfon are the second selection and the draw is priced at 5.75, and while it would be a surprise if the away side could eke out an advantage in Tallinn, it is worth considering that Levadia are win favourites again on Thursday despite a poor run at home.
Levadia are 1-1-1 at Kadriorg staadion in all competitions, and they average 1.67 goals scored per game and 1.00 goals conceded per game in this matchup. By contrast, Caernarfon have played only 3 games away from home in all competitions, posting a W1, L2 record and conceding 1.33 goals per match.
Levadia look superior in all areas
Levadia tactics
Vjatseslav Zahovaiko's men are set up in a 4-3-3 formation and they seek to control games with short passing, territorial play and an intense, high press. The Lads look sharp and well-drilled, their front line in particular appear to be linking up well from quick passing and early pressure.
Caernarfon approach
Richard Davies' Caernarfon play a typical British style with width, crosses and a physicality. They are more direct and will need the pace and power of Adrian Cieslewicz and the wide men to step up and cause havoc if they are to make a comeback in this game.
Recent form
Caernarfon have looked up and down in their previous 5 games, W3, L2, and the 0-5 loss in the first leg was a crushing reality check for Davies and his side.
Another Levadia win is likely
Levadia can keep this tie in their hands for the entirety of the match with their pressing, ball control and territorial dominance, unless Davies' men can get the ball into the corners and make it a messy, aerial game.
We are going with the same result as last time out, a Levadia win with under 4.5 goals in the game, even if the Welsh side do come out of the blocks fast and try to grab a goal early on.
- Enock Otoo is the most likely man to score for Levadia on Thursday, he is their key finisher and already leads their goals tally for the UEFA Conference League Qualification 2026 with 1 goal in 1 game.
- Cieslewicz has been Caernarfon's key player in the last 5 games, scoring 2 of their 6 goals.
