- Home form: FK Liepaja have been in decent form at home with 1 win and 1 defeat from their last 2 home games.
- Visitors form: FK Decic Tuzi are in terrible form coming into this game with 1 win and 4 defeats from their last 5 matches.
Latvians can make home advantage count
Home form
Home advantage should help FK Liepaja see off FK Decic Tuzi when the two sides face off in Latvia in the UEFA Conference League Qualification 2026 on Thursday. FK Liepaja have won four of their five home games in all competitions this season, so they could have the edge here.
The Latvians have lost form slightly of late, falling to 1 win and 4 losses in their last 5 games, but that does include a 4-0 win over Ogre United at the Skonto Stadium.
Tactics and key men
Vladimir Vassiljev's side tend to play a 4-3-3 system that stretches the opposition wide and allows them to press in a controlled, medium-intensity way. They have scored 11 goals on home ground this term, an average of 2.20 per game, and in Fellipe Vieira they have a real danger man who has scored two of their five goals in the last five games.
Decic may look to strike on turnovers
But Ivan Brnovic's visitors are an entirely different proposition with a more compact and reactive approach that has seen them switch from 4-2-3-1 to a back-three and back to 4-2-3-1 to try and hit on the counter.
FK Liepaja come into this match as slight favourites at 2.5 with FK Decic Tuzi priced at 2.8 and the draw at 3.1. The home side should have enough to win this game, but the way FK Decic Tuzi set up means this could be a lot closer than the market thinks. Liepaja's wide play should be up against a team that looks to compress and hit on turnovers.
That will make it a battle of width versus compression and we believe the hosts should have the advantage and a home win is the preferred bet here, although the possibility of an upset does remain.
- They are winless in their 5 away games in all competitions (1 draw, 4 defeats) and have conceded eight goals in those fixtures, so they are leaking at the back.
- And their form has taken a nosedive of late with four consecutive defeats leading into this clash.
- Trimror Selimi has been the sharp edge for FK Decic Tuzi with two goals in his last five appearances and they will look to him to make the difference.
